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\u6211\u8ddf\u540c\u4e8b\u5948\u975e\u591a\u592b (Sergey Nefedov) \u8207\u79d1\u7f85\u5854\u8036\u592b (Andrey Korotayev) \u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u6536\u96c6\u4e86\u5e7e\u500b\u6b77\u53f2\u6027\u793e\u6703\uff0c\u5176\u4eba\u53e3\u3001\u793e\u6703\u8207\u653f\u6cbb\u8b8a\u6578\u7684\u91cf\u5316\u8cc7\u6599\u3002\u6211\u5011\u5c0d\u4e2d\u53e4\u4e16\u7d00\u8207\u65e9\u671f\u73fe\u4ee3\u7684\u82f1\u683c\u862d\u8207\u6cd5\u570b\u3001\u7f85\u99ac\u5e1d\u570b\u8207\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7684\u516b\u500b\u4e16\u4fd7\u5faa\u74b0\uff0c\u61c9\u7528\u4e86\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u767c\u73fe\u6bcf\u5341\u5e74\u9593\u7684\u4e0d\u7a69\u5b9a\u6027\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6578\u76ee\uff0c\u5728\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u6642\u5019\u7e3d\u662f\u6bd4\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u6642\u5019\u591a\u51fa\u597d\u5e7e\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>

\u6b77\u53f2\u5973\u795e\u514b\u840a\u6b50<\/p><\/div>\n

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\u6f6e\u8d77\u6f6e\u843d<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u4ee5\u53f2\u70ba\u93e1<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\"\"<\/a>

\u6b0a\u529b\u904b\u8f49\u5716<\/p><\/div>\n

\u8a72\u662f\u6211\u5011\u8981\u7559\u610f\u300c\u4e0d\u80fd\u4ee5\u53f2\u70ba\u9451\u8005\u6046\u518d\u72af\u4e4b\u300d\u9019\u53e5\u53e4\u8afa\u7684\u6642\u5019\u4e86\u3002\u6211\u5011\u5fc5\u9808\u6536\u96c6\u91cf\u5316\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u8d77\u666e\u904d\u6027\u89e3\u91cb\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u5728\u6240\u6709\u8cc7\u6599\u4e0a\u982d\u5c0d\u5176\u9032\u884c\u5be6\u8b49\u6e2c\u9a57\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u53ea\u7cbe\u5fc3\u6311\u9078\u4e00\u4e9b\u6848\u4f8b\uff0c\u4f86\u8b49\u660e\u6211\u5011\u504f\u597d\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u6558\u4e8b\u3002\u70ba\u4e86\u80fd\u5920\u771f\u6b63\u5f9e\u6b77\u53f2\u4e2d\u5b78\u7fd2\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5fc5\u9808\u5c07\u5176\u8f49\u5316\u6210\u4e00\u7a2e\u79d1\u5b78\u3002<\/p>\n

(\u672c\u6587\u539f\u70ba\u4e8c\u25cb\u25cb\u516b\u5e74\u4e03\u6708\u4e09\u65e5\u300a\u81ea\u7136\u300b\u96dc\u8a8c\u5c08\u6587\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u6d82\u6b3d (Peter Turchin)\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u5eb7\u4e43\u72c4\u514b\u5927\u5b78\u751f\u614b\u5b78\u8207\u6578\u5b78\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u8457\u6709\u300a\u6230\u722d\u3001\u548c\u5e73\u8207\u6230\u722d\uff1a\u5e1d\u5236\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u751f\u547d\u9031\u671f\u300b (War and Peace and War: The Life-Cycles of Imperial Nations) \u4e00\u66f8\u3002)<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u6b77\u53f2\u53ef\u4ee5\u8f49\u5316\u70ba\u4e00\u7a2e\u79d1\u5b78\u55ce? \u77e5\u8b58\u901a\u8a0a\u8a55\u8ad6\u7b2c70\u671f \u7f8e\u570b\u4e00\u4f4d\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u5011\u60f3\u5b78\u7fd2\u5982\u4f55\u767c\u5c55\u4e00\u500b\u5065\u5168\u7684\u793e\u6703\uff0c\u5c31…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":50,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[165,171,5930],"tags":[12429],"class_list":["post-37243","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-kreview00","category-kreview06","category-5930","tag-12429","avhec_catgroup-all","loop-entry","cat-165","cat-171","cat-5930","no-thumbnail"],"views":118,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37243","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/50"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37243"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37243\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":89844,"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37243\/revisions\/89844"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37243"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37243"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37243"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}