

{"id":44334,"date":"2024-07-10T18:00:08","date_gmt":"2024-07-10T10:00:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=44334"},"modified":"2024-07-09T16:22:15","modified_gmt":"2024-07-09T08:22:15","slug":"%e7%94%a8%e6%a9%9f%e5%99%a8%e5%ad%b8%e7%bf%92%e6%8a%80%e8%a1%93%e9%96%8b%e7%99%bc%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e7%a9%ba%e8%bb%8d%e9%a3%9b%e8%a1%8c%e5%93%a1%e7%9a%84%e6%b1%ba%e7%ad%96%e6%94%af%e6%8f%b4%e7%b3%bb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=44334","title":{"rendered":"\u7528\u6a5f\u5668\u5b78\u7fd2\u6280\u8853\u958b\u767c\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>\u8fd1\u5e74\u4f86\u96a8\u8457\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u885d\u64ca\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u822a\u7a7a\u516c\u53f8\u70ba\u4e86\u56e0\u61c9\u822a\u73ed\u53d6\u6d88\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u8667\u640d\uff0c\u9032\u884c\u4e86\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u4eba\u4e8b\u8abf\u6574\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u8457\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u6536\u675f\uff0c\u4eba\u624d\u9700\u6c42\u53c8\u6210\u4e86\u8feb\u5207\u7684\u8b70\u984c\u3002\u96a8\u4e4b\u800c\u4f86\u8b70\u984c\uff0c\u4e5f\u8b93\u6c11\u9593\u7684\u822a\u7a7a\u4f01\u696d\u548c\u8ecd\u65b9\u7684\u7a7a\u8ecd\u9700\u6c42\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u62c9\u92f8\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u78ba\u4fdd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7b49\u76f8\u95dc\u822a\u7a7a\u4eba\u54e1\u7684\u914d\u7f6e\uff0c\u53c8\u80fd\u56e0\u61c9\u6642\u4ee3\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u6b63\u8003\u9a57\u6574\u9ad4\u822a\u7a7a\u4e8b\u696d\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u64b0\u6587\uff5c\u738b\u51a0\u4e91<\/strong><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_44335\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-44335\" style=\"width: 800px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-44335\" src=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71-1024x574.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"448\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71-1024x574.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71-768x430.jpg 768w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71-1536x861.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71-2048x1148.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-44335\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u4f86\u6e90\uff1aMotionElements<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h6><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>\u7a7a\u8ecd\u7684\u56b4\u683c\u6a19\u6e96\u8207\u6a5f\u5e2b\u57f9\u8a13<\/strong><\/span><\/h6>\n<p>\u6839\u64da\u6ce2\u97f3\u8207\u7a7a\u4e2d\u5df4\u58eb\u7b49\u98db\u6a5f\u88fd\u9020\u5546\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5831\u544a\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u822a\u7a7a\u696d\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u4ecd\u7136\u6703\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u4eba\u5011\u4ee5\u98db\u6a5f\u4f86\u9032\u884c\u79fb\u52d5\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u767c\u9054\u7684\u96fb\u5b50\u5546\u52d9\u7269\u6d41\u4e5f\u6709\u589e\u52a0\u5c0d\u65bc\u7a7a\u904b\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u9577\u671f\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u672a\u4f8620\u5e74\u5c07\u589e\u52a0\u7d0465\u842c\u540d\u7684\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u822a\u7a7a\u696d\u7f3a\u4eba\u624d\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u66f4\u52a0\u9762\u81e8\u8457\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u77ed\u7f3a\u7684\u56b4\u5cfb\u72c0\u6cc1\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd (United States Air Force, USAF) \u53c3\u8b00\u9577David Goldfein\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8981\u6e1b\u8f15\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u77ed\u7f3a\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u885d\u64ca\uff0c\u52a0\u901f\u8a13\u7df4\u904e\u7a0b\u3001\u64f4\u5927\u62db\u52df\u7bc4\u570d\u3001\u7559\u7528\u5408\u9069\u4eba\u624d\u3001\u6e1b\u5c11\u57f9\u8a13\u8017\u640d\u7b49\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u57f7\u884c\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Wasilefsky\u7b49\u4eba (2024) \u767c\u8868\u65bc\u300a<em>Decision Support System<\/em>\u300b\uff08\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71\uff09\u671f\u520a\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u70ba\u4e86\u6e1b\u5c11\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u57f9\u8a13\u6642\u6240\u8017\u640d\u7684\u4eba\u529b\uff0c\u958b\u767c\u4e86\u4e00\u5957\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71\uff0c\u85c9\u7531\u6a5f\u5668\u5b78\u7fd2\u7684\u8f14\u52a9\uff0c\u8b93\u7cfb\u7d71\u80fd\u63a8\u85a6\u5177\u6709\u7af6\u722d\u529b\u548c\u6f5b\u529b\u7684\u98db\u884c\u4eba\u624d\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u4f5c\u70ba\u8ecd\u65b9\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u7cfb\u7d71\uff0c\u8a72\u7cfb\u7d71\u5fc5\u9808\u6eff\u8db3\u4e94\u5927\u539f\u5247\uff1a\u660e\u78ba\u7684\u6b0a\u8cac\u6b78\u5c6c\u3001\u516c\u5e73\u3001\u53ef\u8ffd\u8e64\u3001\u53ef\u4fe1\u8cf4\u3001\u53ef\u6cbb\u7406\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6a5f\u5668\u5b78\u7fd2\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u70ba\u80cc\u5f8c\u9032\u884c\u4e86\u904e\u65bc\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u8a08\u7b97\uff0c\u8b93\u4eba\u8166\u96e3\u4ee5\u76f4\u89c0\u89e3\u91cb\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6578\u5b78\u5f0f\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u300c\u9ed1\u76d2\u5b50\u300d\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u5c31\u9055\u80cc\u4e86\u8ecd\u65b9\u7cfb\u7d71\u6240\u61c9\u8a72\u9075\u5faa\u7684\u539f\u5247\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0cWasilefsky\u7b49\u4eba (2024) \u70ba\u4e86\u7a81\u7834\u9019\u500b\u76f2\u9ede\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528SHAP\u503c\u548c\u5171\u578b\u9810\u6e2c (conformal prediction) \u4f86\u89e3\u91cb\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u4f30\u8a08\u6bcf\u500b\u7279\u5fb5\u91cf\u5c0d\u65bc\u9810\u6e2c\u7d50\u679c\u7684\u6548\u679c\u91cf\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f7f\u7528\u66f4\u900f\u660e\u4e14\u5bb9\u6613\u8655\u7406\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u4f86\u9810\u6e2c\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u7d66\u4e88\u9810\u6e2c\u91cf\u7684\u5340\u9593\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h6><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>\u6210\u70ba\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u5c64\u5c64\u8003\u9a57\u8207\u6a21\u578b\u8a13\u7df4<\/strong><\/span><\/h6>\n<p>\u8981\u6210\u70ba\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u4e00\u54e1\uff0c\u5fc5\u9808\u8981\u7d93\u904e\u5c64\u5c64\u7684\u8a13\u7df4\u8ab2\u7a0b\u53ca\u8003\u6838\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u624d\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6b63\u5f0f\u52a0\u5165\u98db\u5b98\u7684\u884c\u5217\u3002\u6574\u500b\u904e\u7a0b\u7684\u9032\u884c\u76f8\u7576\u8017\u6642\uff0cWasilefsky\u7b49\u4eba (2024) \u6240\u958b\u767c\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71\uff0c\u7db2\u7f85\u4e862010\u5e74\u52302018\u5e74\u904e\u5f80\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u9032\u884c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8a13\u7df4\u8207\u8abf\u6821\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u9032\u884c\u6a21\u578b\u8a13\u7df4\u7684\u6642\u5019\u524d\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u5171\u578b\u9810\u6e2c (conformal prediction) \u7684\u624b\u6cd5\u4f86\u9032\u884c\u8cc7\u6599\u6578\u64da\u7684\u5206\u5272\u3002Wasilefsky\u7b49\u4eba (2024) \u5c07\u8cc7\u6599\u5206\u70ba\u4e09\u500b\u8cc7\u6599\u96c6\uff0c\u8cc7\u6599\u96c6\u4e00\u548c\u8cc7\u6599\u96c6\u4e8c\u662f\u8a13\u7df4\u96c6\uff0c\u800c\u8cc7\u6599\u96c6\u4e00\u4e3b\u8981\u7528\u4f86\u9032\u578b\u7279\u5fb5\u91cf\u9078\u64c7\u7684\u8a13\u7df4\uff0c\u8cc7\u6599\u96c6\u4e8c\u5247\u662f\u7528\u4ee5\u6e2c\u8a66\u6a21\u578b\u8868\u73fe\uff0c\u8cc7\u6599\u96c6\u4e09\u5247\u662f\u6821\u6b63\u7528\u8cc7\u6599\u96c6\uff0c\u6700\u5f8c\u7528\u4ee5\u5efa\u7acb\u5171\u578b\u5206\u6578 (conformity score)\u3002\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u7684\u7b97\u5f0f\u5047\u8a2d\u4e2d\uff0c\u5171\u578b\u5206\u6578\u53ef\u8996\u70ba\u8aa4\u5dee\u9805\uff0c\u8d8a\u5c0f\u4ee3\u8868\u8d8a\u5177\u6709\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8cc7\u6599\u6536\u96c6\u90e8\u5206\uff0cWasilefsky\u7b49\u4eba (2024) \u6536\u96c6\u7684\u7279\u5fb5\u91cf\u4f86\u6e90\u5305\u542b\u5b78\u8853GPA\u5206\u6578\u3001\u98db\u884c\u6642\u6578\u3001PCSM\u8003\u8a66\u5206\u6578\u3001TBAS\u5206\u6578\u3001AFOQT\u5206\u6578\u7b49\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e5f\u5305\u542b\u4e86\u6027\u683c\u6e2c\u8a66\u5206\u6578\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u8003\u91cf\u4e86\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u53e3\u7d71\u8a08\u8b8a\u9805\uff0c\u5982\u6027\u5225\u3001\u7a2e\u65cf\u3001\u6559\u80b2\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7b49\u7b49\u3002\u5728\u773e\u591a\u7684\u8a13\u7df4\u7279\u5fb5\u91cf\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528Boruta\u6280\u8853\uff0c\u5c07\u7279\u5fb5\u91cf\u6536\u6582\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u9032\u884c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8a13\u7df4\u3002\u800c\u6839\u64daBoruta\u6240\u7be9\u9078\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\u7279\u5fb5\u91cd\u8981\u5ea6\uff0cPCSM\u5206\u6578\u3001AFOQT\u5206\u6578\u4ee5\u53ca\u98db\u884c\u6642\u6578\u662f\u8f03\u70ba\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7279\u5fb5\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_44336\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-44336\" style=\"width: 800px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-44336\" src=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71-1-1024x543.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"424\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71-1-1024x543.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71-1-300x159.jpg 300w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71-1-768x407.jpg 768w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71-1-1536x815.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71-1-2048x1087.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-44336\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u9078\u62d4\u53ca\u8a13\u7df4\u6d41\u7a0b\uff5c\u4f86\u6e90\uff1aWasilefsky et al., 2024\u3002\u4e2d\u6587\u70ba\u672c\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u53c3\u8003\u5e38\u7528\u7528\u6cd5\u7ffb\u8b6f\uff0c\u975e\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u9632\u5b98\u65b9\u8a8d\u8b49\u4e2d\u6587\u7ffb\u8b6f<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u6a21\u578b\u8a13\u7df4\u65b9\u9762\uff0cWasilefsky\u7b49\u4eba (2024) \u5206\u70ba\u5169\u500b\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u4f7f\u7528\u8c9d\u5f0f\u7db2\u8def (Bayesian network) \u4f86\u9032\u884c\u8a08\u7b97\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u7279\u8272\u5728\u65bc\u4ee5\u689d\u4ef6\u6a5f\u7387\u4f86\u8a55\u4f30\u9810\u6e2c\u76ee\u6a19\u3002\u800c\u6839\u64da\u524d\u4e00\u6bb5\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u7279\u5fb5\u91cf\u9078\u53d6\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u5728\u8a08\u7b97\u7dda\u6027\u9ad8\u65af\u8c9d\u5f0f\u7db2\u8def (Linear Gaussian Bayesian Network, L-GBN) \u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u4e5f\u4ee5Boruta\u6240\u8868\u793a\u7684\u5404\u500b\u7279\u5fb5\u91cf\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5ea6\u4f86\u9032\u884c\u6a21\u578b\u89c0\u5bdf\u8b8a\u9805\u7684\u9078\u64c7\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5206\u6210\u5169\u500b\u5c64\u9762\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u662f\u4ee5\u6e2c\u9a57\u6210\u7e3e\u70ba\u57fa\u6e96\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u662f\u4ee5\u5c08\u5bb6\u610f\u898b\u70ba\u57fa\u6e96\u3002\u6700\u5f8c\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u8a08\u7b97\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u4ee5\u5c08\u5bb6\u610f\u898b\u70ba\u57fa\u790e\u4f86\u9078\u64c7\u7684\u7279\u5fb5\u91cf\uff0c\u6240\u8a08\u7b97\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u8aa4\u5dee\u8f03\u4f4e\uff0c\u986f\u73fe\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u78ba\u4fdd\u8003\u6838\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u7684\u5c08\u5bb6\u59d4\u54e1\u5011\u7684\u5c08\u696d\u5ea6\u8207\u516c\u5e73\u5224\u65b7\uff0c\u662f\u76f8\u7576\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u8a13\u7df4\u9084\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u5404\u500b\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u6a5f\u5668\u5b78\u7fd2\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5305\u542bXGBoost\u3001\u591a\u5c64\u611f\u77e5\u5668 (multi-layer perceptron, MLP)\u3001\u652f\u6301\u5411\u91cf\u56de\u6b78 (support vector regression, SVR)\u3001\u96a8\u6a5f\u68ee\u6797 (Random Forest)\u3001CatBoost\u3001LightGBM\u7b49\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0cSVR\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8aa4\u5dee\u6700\u5c0f\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86SVR\u6a21\u578b\u4f86\u9032\u884cSHAP\u503c\u7684\u904b\u7b97\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u6c42\u5f97\u5404\u500b\u7279\u5fb5\u91cf\u5728\u6a21\u578b\u904b\u7b97\u6642\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5ea6\u3002\u4ee5\u89e3\u91cb\u6027\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6700\u5177\u6709\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u7684\u524d\u56db\u500b\u7279\u5fb5\u91cf\u5206\u5225\u662fPCSM\u5206\u6578\u3001USAFA\u7684\u51fa\u8eab\u80cc\u666f\u3001\u98db\u884c\u6642\u6578\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b78\u696dGPA\u6210\u7e3e\u3002\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5f9eUSAFA\u51fa\u8eab\u7684\u8a13\u7df4\u751f\u66f4\u5177\u6709\u6f5b\u8cea\uff0c\u800c\u96a8\u8457\u98db\u884c\u6642\u6578\u7684\u7d2f\u7a4d\uff0c\u6b63\u5411\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u82e5\u662f\u98db\u884c\u6642\u6578\u4f4e\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6703\u5e36\u4f86\u4e9b\u5fae\u8ca0\u9762\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h6><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71\u7684\u53ef\u884c\u6027<\/strong><\/span><\/h6>\n<p>\u6709\u4e86\u4ee5\u4e0a\u6a21\u578b\u8a08\u7b97\u7684\u57fa\u790e\uff0cWasilefsky\u7b49\u4eba (2024) \u8a66\u8457\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u4ecb\u9762\uff0c\u6574\u5408\u6210\u4e86\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7533\u8acb\u8005\u9078\u64c7\u7cfb\u7d71 (Air Force Pilot Applicant Selection System, AF-PASS)\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u500b\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71\uff0c\u76ee\u6a19\u662f\u8a2d\u8a08\u7d66\u6700\u5f8c\u4e00\u9053\u95dc\u5361\uff0c\u5c08\u696d\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u8a13\u7df4 (SUPT) \u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u7684\u59d4\u54e1\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u4ee5\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u9632\u90e8\u7684\u7cfb\u7d71\u6a19\u6e96\u521d\u6b65\u958b\u767c\u4e86\u9019\u500b\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u7528\u4f86\u89e3\u91cb\u7684\u6578\u5b78\u5f0f\u4ee5\u53ca\u5716\u8868\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u5fc5\u9808\u7d93\u904e\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u6559\u80b2\u8a13\u7df4\u5f8c\uff0c\u624d\u5bb9\u6613\u4f7f\u4eba\u95b1\u8b80\uff0c\u4f9d\u820a\u4e0d\u5920\u76f4\u89c0\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0cSUPT\u5f80\u5f80\u5fc5\u9808\u670d\u81ba\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u96d6\u7136\u6839\u64da\u904e\u5f80\u516b\u5e74\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u9032\u884c\u8a13\u7df4\uff0c\u4f46\u6bcf\u5e74\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4eba\u624d\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u6709\u4e9b\u5fae\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Wasilefsky\u7b49\u4eba (2024) \u5728\u8ad6\u6587\u672b\u5c3e\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u958b\u767c\u7684\u7cfb\u7d71\u4ecd\u7136\u4e0d\u80fd\u53d6\u4ee3\u4eba\u624d\u9078\u62d4\u7684\u6d41\u7a0b\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u53ea\u662f\u4f5c\u70ba\u570b\u9632\u90e8\u5167\u7684\u500b\u4eba\u7528\u9014\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u8a2d\u8a08\u51fa\u7684\u67b6\u69cb\u4ecd\u7136\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u5e6b\u52a9\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5354\u52a9SUPT\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u5728\u9032\u884c\u5224\u65b7\u6642\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u8a0e\u8ad6\u4f9d\u64da\u3002\u800c\u9664\u4e86\u7a7a\u8ecd\u4ee5\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u9818\u57df\u82e5\u662f\u8981\u8a2d\u8a08\u5177\u6709\u53ef\u89e3\u91cb\u6027\u7684AI\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4e5f\u5f88\u6709\u53c3\u8003\u50f9\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>\u53c3\u8003\u6587\u737b<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.dss.2024.114198\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Wasilefsky, D., Caballero, W. N., Johnstone, C., Gaw, N., &amp; Jenkins, P. R. (2024). Responsible machine learning for United States Air Force pilot candidate selection. <em>Decision Support Systems<\/em>, 180, 114198.<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.boeing.com\/commercial\/market\/pilot-technician-outlook#interactive-forecast\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6ce2\u97f3\u300a\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u8207\u6280\u8853\u54e1\u5c55\u671b 2023-2042\u300b<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.airbus.com\/en\/products-services\/commercial-aircraft\/market\/global-market-forecast\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u7a7a\u4e2d\u5df4\u58eb\u300a\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u6e2c2023-2042\u300b<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nasc.gov.tw\/News_Content.aspx?n=194&amp;s=139711\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u77ed\u7f3a\uff08\u98db\u5b89\u5b63\u520a81\u671f\uff09<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/news.pts.org.tw\/article\/623350\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u516c\u8996\u65b0\u805e\u7db2\u2013\u300a\u7f8e\u6c11\u822a\u6a5f\u5e2b\u56b4\u91cd\u77ed\u7f3a \u9810\u4f30\u81f3\u5c11\u9700\u6c42\u4e0a\u842c\u4eba\u300b<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u8fd1\u5e74\u4f86\u96a8\u8457\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u885d\u64ca\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u822a\u7a7a\u516c\u53f8\u70ba\u4e86\u56e0\u61c9\u822a\u73ed\u53d6\u6d88\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u8667\u640d\uff0c\u9032\u884c\u4e86\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u4eba\u4e8b\u8abf\u6574\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u8457\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u6536\u675f\uff0c\u4eba\u624d\u9700\u6c42\u53c8\u6210\u4e86\u8feb\u5207\u7684\u8b70\u984c\u3002\u96a8\u4e4b\u800c\u4f86\u8b70\u984c\uff0c\u4e5f\u8b93\u6c11\u9593\u7684\u822a\u7a7a\u4f01\u696d\u548c\u8ecd\u65b9\u7684\u7a7a\u8ecd\u9700\u6c42\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u62c9\u92f8\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u78ba\u4fdd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7b49\u76f8\u95dc\u822a\u7a7a\u4eba\u54e1\u7684\u914d\u7f6e\uff0c\u53c8\u80fd\u56e0\u61c9\u6642\u4ee3\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u6b63\u8003\u9a57\u6574\u9ad4\u822a\u7a7a\u4e8b\u696d\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":44335,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3772,3293,4988,5032],"tags":[7148,7150,7149,7147],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/\u7f8e\u570b\u7a7a\u8ecd\u98db\u884c\u54e1\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u7cfb\u7d71-scaled.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44334"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/20"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=44334"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44334\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44337,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44334\/revisions\/44337"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/44335"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=44334"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=44334"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=44334"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}