{"id":40102,"date":"2022-06-17T08:00:59","date_gmt":"2022-06-17T00:00:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=40102"},"modified":"2022-06-27T16:50:31","modified_gmt":"2022-06-27T08:50:31","slug":"%e4%b8%96%e7%95%8c%e4%b8%8a14%e7%9a%84%e6%a8%b9%e7%a8%ae%e9%82%84%e6%b2%92%e8%a2%ab%e7%99%bc%e7%8f%be%ef%bc%9f%e5%88%a9%e7%94%a8%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%e9%87%8f%e4%bc%b0%e8%a8%88%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%83%e6%a8%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=40102","title":{"rendered":"\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a14%\u7684\u6a39\u7a2e\u9084\u6c92\u88ab\u767c\u73fe\uff1f\u5229\u7528\u7d71\u8a08\u91cf\u4f30\u8a08\u5730\u7403\u6a39\u6728\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\u591a\u6a23\u6027"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><span style=\"color: #333399;\">\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u7a2e\u985e\u7684\u6a39\uff0c\u662f\u76f8\u7576\u5927\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c2022\u5e74\uff0c\u4e00\u7bc7\u7814\u7a76\u5229\u7528GFBI(Global Forest Biodiversity Initiative)\u53caTREECHANGE\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6a23\u6027\u7684chao2\u7d71\u8a08\u91cf\uff0c\u4f30\u8a08\u51fa\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u7684\u6a39\u7a2e\u63a8\u4f30\u91cf\u3002\u6b64\u7d50\u679c\u8aaa\u660e\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u7d04\u670973,000\u7a2e\u6a39\u6728\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7d04\u67099,000\u9918\u7a2e\u5c1a\u672a\u88ab\u767c\u8868\u6216\u63cf\u8ff0\u904e\u3002\u4ee5\u6d32\u7684\u5c3a\u5ea6\u53ef\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u7684\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6a23\u6027\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u6f5b\u5728\u7684\u672a\u767c\u8868\u7269\u7a2e\u4e5f\u6700\u591a\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u64b0\u6587\uff5c\u4f55\u90c1\u5ead<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-40098\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u4e00-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"400\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u4e00-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u4e00-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u4e00-768x512.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400; text-align: center;\">\u5716\u4e00\u3001\u9577\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6709\u5e7e\u7a2e\u6a39\u6728\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u4eba\u5011\u611f\u8208\u8da3\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff5c\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pexels.com\/zh-tw\/photo\/38136\/\">pexels<\/a><\/p>\n<p>2022\u5e74\uff0c\u4e00\u7bc7\u767c\u8868\u5728\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/\"><em>Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<\/em><\/a>\u300b\u671f\u520a\u4e0a\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6839\u64da\u4f30\u8a08\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u5927\u7d04\u670973,000\u500b\u6a39\u7a2e\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5927\u7d04\u67099,000\u9918\u7a2e\u90fd\u9084\u6c92\u88ab\u767c\u8868\u6216\u63cf\u8ff0\u904e\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6709\u5e7e\u7a2e\u6a39\u6728\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u4eba\u5011\u611f\u8208\u8da3\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u70ba\u4e86\u77e5\u9053\u554f\u984c\u7684\u7b54\u6848\uff0c\u64c5\u9577\u5916\u696d\u8abf\u67e5\u7684\u5b78\u8005\uff0c\u5b5c\u5b5c\u77fb\u77fb\u5730\u8490\u96c6\u73fe\u5730\u89c0\u6e2c\u8cc7\u6599\uff1b\u5c0d\u7406\u8ad6\u53ca\u7d71\u8a08\u64c5\u9577\u7684\u5b78\u8005\uff0c\u5247\u9365\u800c\u4e0d\u6368\u5730\u63a8\u5c0e\u51fa\u80fd\u5ba2\u89c0\u4f30\u7b97\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6a23\u6027\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u548c\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u7d71\u8a08\u65b9\u6cd5\u548c\u8abf\u67e5\u53d6\u6a23\u7684\u6280\u8853\u4e0d\u65b7\u63a8\u9673\u51fa\u65b0\uff0c\u4fc3\u6210\u4e86\u9019\u9805\u7814\u7a76\u6210\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u4e86\u89e3\u7814\u7a76\u4f30\u7b97\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\u300c\u7d50\u679c\u300d\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u8981\u4e86\u89e3\u300c\u5982\u4f55\u4f30\u7b97\u300d\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u8981\u82b1\u4e9b\u5de5\u592b\u624d\u80fd\u7406\u89e3\u5176\u6839\u64da\u8207\u908f\u8f2f\u3002\u672c\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u6b63\u662f\u60f3\u4ecb\u7d39\u9019\u7bc7\u7814\u7a76\u4f30\u7b97\u7269\u7a2e\u6578\u7684\u539f\u7406\u8207\u7d30\u7bc0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080;\"><strong>\u25cf \u5168\u7403\u6a23\u5340\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u82e5\u8981\u8a08\u7b97\u7d71\u8a08\u91cf\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u5fc5\u9808\u8981\u6709\u5730\u9762\u6a23\u5340\u7684\u89c0\u6e2c\u8cc7\u6599\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u6b64\u7814\u7a76\u4f7f\u7528<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gfbinitiative.org\/data\">GFBI<\/a>(Global Forest Biodiversity Initiative)\u53ca<a href=\"https:\/\/bio.au.dk\/en\/research\/research-centres\/biochange\/research\/treechange\">TREECHANGE<\/a>\u5169\u500b\u5168\u7403\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u3002GFBI\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6027\u7684\u6a39\u6728\u6a23\u5340\u8abf\u67e5\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u5177\u6709\u6a39\u7a2e\u76f8\u5c0d\u8c50\u5ea6\u7684\u8cc7\u8a0a(abundance-based)\uff0c\u4e14\u5305\u542b9,353\u500b100 km<sup>2<\/sup>\u7684\u6a23\u5340\uff0c\u6b64\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\u5171\u8a18\u9304\u7d043\u53438\u767e\u842c\u682a\u6a39\u6728\uff0c\u4e26\u5305\u542b\u7d042\u842c8\u5343\u7a2e\u6a39\u7a2e\uff1bTREE-CHANGE\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\u5247\u662f\u5305\u542b\u6a23\u5340\u8cc7\u6599\u53ca\u5f15\u8b49\u6a19\u672c(botanical voucher)\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u8a18\u9304\u7269\u7a2e\u662f\u5426\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u8cc7\u8a0a(occurrence-based)\uff0c\u6b64\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\u7d04\u67093\u53437\u767e\u842c\u7b46\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u4e26\u5305\u542b5\u842c\u7a2e\u6a39\u7a2e\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u9019\u5169\u500b\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\u7684\u5730\u9762\u8abf\u67e5\u7bc4\u570d\u7686\u6a6b\u8de8\u4e94\u5927\u6d32\uff0c\u4e14\u6a23\u672c\u6db5\u84cb\u7387\u9054\u523096.4%<sup>[1]<\/sup>\uff1b\u6263\u9664\u91cd\u8907\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\uff0c\u5169\u500b\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\u5171\u8a18\u8f0964,088\u500b\u6a39\u7a2e\u3002\u4ee5\u53d6\u6a23\u7684\u6578\u91cf\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7b97\u662f\u5145\u8db3\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u5f9e\u53d6\u6a23\u5730\u9ede\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u6216\u591a\u6216\u5c11\u53ef\u767c\u73fe\u53d6\u6a23\u4e0d\u5747\u52fb\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002<sup>[1]<\/sup> \u6a23\u672c\u6db5\u84cb\u7387(sample coverage)\uff0c\u6307\u5728\u6a23\u672c\u4e2d\uff0c\u770b\u5230\u6240\u6709\u7269\u7a2e\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-40099\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u4e8c-1024x990.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"580\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u4e8c-1024x990.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u4e8c-300x290.jpg 300w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u4e8c-768x743.jpg 768w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u4e8c.jpg 2000w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/>\u5716\u4e8c\u3001\u6a23\u5340\u5206\u5e03\u53ca\u5404\u5927\u6d32\u6a23\u672c\u6578\uff0f\u7269\u7a2e\u6578\u5c0d\u7167\u5716\u3002\u5730\u5716\u4e2d\u85cd\u8272\u5340\u584a\u70baGFBI\u6a23\u5340\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u7d2b\u8272\u70baTREECHANGE\u6a23\u5340\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff5c\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u6587\u737b1<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #008080;\">\u25cf \u4f30\u8a08\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ca\u5176\u539f\u7406<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u4e86\u89e3\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\u7684\u8cc7\u8a0a\u5f8c\uff0c\u63a5\u8457\u8981\u8aaa\u660e\u7684\u5247\u662f\u7528\u4f86\u4f30\u7b97\u7269\u7a2e\u6578\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u6b64\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u8981\u4f7f\u7528\u540d\u70ba\u300cchao2\u300d\u7684\u7121\u6bcd\u6578\u4f30\u8a08\u91cf(nonparametric estimator)\u3002\u9019\u500b\u7d71\u8a08\u91cf\u662f\u5176\u4ed6\u751f\u614b\u5b78\u8005\u4ee5\u6e05\u83ef\u5927\u5b78\u7684\u69ae\u8b7d\u9000\u4f11\u6559\u6388<a href=\"http:\/\/140.114.36.3\/wordpress\/\">\u8d99\u84ee\u83ca\u6559\u6388<\/a>\u7684\u59d3\u6c0f\u547d\u540d\uff0c\u6b64\u7d71\u8a08\u91cf\u6700\u539f\u59cb\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u662f\u6e90\u65bc\u8a08\u7b97\u6a5f\u79d1\u5b78\u4e4b\u7236\u5716\u9748(Alan Turing)\u65bc\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6230\u6642\uff0c\u70ba\u4e86\u4f30\u7b97<strong>\u672a<\/strong>\u622a\u7372\u5fb7\u8ecd\u96fb\u5831\u5bc6\u78bc\u7684\u6578\u91cf\u800c\u51fa\u73fe\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u6b64\u4f30\u8a08\u6cd5\u7684\u7c21\u8981\u539f\u7406\uff0c\u662f\u5c07\u53d6\u6a23\u4e2d\u767c\u73fe\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\u6578\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u53d6\u6a23\u4e2d\u672a\u767c\u73fe\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\u6578\uff0c\u5247\u7e3d\u6578\u5373\u70ba\u8a72\u5730\u5be6\u969b\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\u6578\uff1b\u53d6\u6a23\u4e2d\u767c\u73fe\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\u662f\u5df2\u77e5\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8981\u4f30\u7b97\u7684\u50c5\u6709\u300c\u672a\u767c\u73fe\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\u300d\u3002\u82e5\u6bcf\u4e00\u500b\u7269\u7a2e\u70ba\u7b2ci\u500b\u7269\u7a2e\uff0c\u5247\u6a23\u5340\u8abf\u67e5\u4e2d\u767c\u73fe\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u8a2d\u70ba\u03c0<sub>i<\/sub>\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u6c92\u6709\u88ab\u767c\u73fe\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u5247\u70ba\u03c0<sub>i<\/sub>\uff1b\u9032\u884cT\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u5f8c\u5b8c\u5168\u6c92\u6709\u88ab\u767c\u73fe\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u6c92\u6709\u88ab\u767c\u73fe\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u7269\u7a2e(Q<sub>0<\/sub>)\u671f\u671b\u503c\u5247\u70ba\uff1a<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-40097\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u516c\u5f0f1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"206\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u516c\u5f0f1.png 986w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u516c\u5f0f1-300x103.png 300w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u516c\u5f0f1-768x263.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u4f9d\u6b64\u539f\u5247\uff0c\u53ef\u4f30\u8a08\u51faQ<sub>k<\/sub>\u7684\u671f\u671b\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u5728\u6240\u6709\u6a23\u672c\u4e2d\uff0c\u8c50\u5bcc\u7a2e\u6703\u5728\u53d6\u6a23\u4e2d\u51fa\u73fe\u5f88\u591a\u6b21\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6613\u88ab\u770b\u898b\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u88ab\u63a8\u4f30\u7684\uff0c\u5247\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u50c5\u51fa\u73fe1\u6b21\u30012\u6b21\u7684\u7a00\u5c11\u7269\u7a2e\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u6a23\u672c\u7576\u4e2d\uff0c\u50c5\u51fa\u73fe\u4e00\u6b21(Q1, singleton)\u3001\u5169\u6b21(Q2, doubleton)\u7684\u7a00\u5c11\u7a2e\uff0c\u662f\u4f30\u8a08\u6642\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u53c3\u6578\u3002\u7d93\u904e\u6578\u5b78\u904b\u7b97\u7684\u63a8\u5c0e\uff0c\u5373\u53ef\u5f97\u5230\u7269\u7a2e\u6578\u7684\u4f30\u8a08\u91cf\u53ca\u516c\u5f0f\uff1a<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><br style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-40096\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u516c\u5f0f2-1024x173.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"101\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u516c\u5f0f2-1024x173.png 1024w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u516c\u5f0f2-300x51.png 300w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u516c\u5f0f2-768x130.png 768w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u516c\u5f0f2.png 1485w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400; padding-left: 40px;\">S<sub>obs<\/sub>\uff1a\u5728\u6240\u6709\u6a23\u672c\u4e2d\u89c0\u6e2c\u5230\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\u6578<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400; padding-left: 40px;\">T\uff1a\u6a23\u672c\u55ae\u4f4d\uff1b\u6a23\u5340\u6578<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400; padding-left: 40px;\">Q<sub>1<\/sub>\uff1a\u5728\u6240\u6709\u6a23\u5340\u4e2d\uff0c\u53ea\u51fa\u73fe1\u6b21\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\u500b\u6578<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400; padding-left: 40px;\">Q<sub>2<\/sub>\uff1a\u5728\u6240\u6709\u6a23\u5340\u4e2d\uff0c\u53ea\u51fa\u73fe2\u6b21\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\u500b\u6578<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u53ef\u4ee5\u5229\u7528\u6a23\u672c\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u63a8\u4f30\u6bcd\u7fa4\u9ad4\u5230\u5e95\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u7269\u7a2e\u7684\u4f30\u8a08\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u4f30\u8a08\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u4e0d\u50c5\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u5728\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6a23\u6027\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u4f86\u4f30\u8a08\u74b0\u5883\u5b78\u4e2d\u4e4b\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u7684\u6fc3\u5ea6<sup>[2]<\/sup>\u3001\u8003\u53e4\u5b78\u4e0a\u6587\u737b\u907a\u7559\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b<sup>[3]<\/sup>\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u838e\u58eb\u6bd4\u4e9e\u8166\u4e2d\u7684\u8a5e\u5f59\u91cf<sup>[4]<\/sup>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #008080;\">\u25cf \u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u8207\u8a0e\u8ad6<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u56de\u5230\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u4e3b\u8ef8\uff0c\u4f9d\u7167\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u53ca\u8a08\u7b97\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u6210\u679c\u5f97\u4ee5\u8a0e\u8ad6(1)\u5168\u7403\uff0d\u6d32\u969b\uff0d\u751f\u7269\u5340\u7cfb\u7b49\u4e09\u500b\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\u591a\u6a23\u6027\uff0c(2)\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u68ee\u6797\u4e2d\u7684\u7a00\u5c11\u6a39\u7a2e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca(3)\u5404\u5927\u6d32\u7269\u7a2e\u6bd4\u8f03\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-40100\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u4e09-1024x575.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"337\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u4e09-1024x575.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u4e09-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u4e09-768x431.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\u5716\u4e09\u3001\u5168\u7403(A)\u53ca\u6d32\u969b(B)\u7269\u7a2e\u591a\u6a23\u6027\u4f30\u8a08\u503c\u3002(A)\u9ed1\u8272\u5be6\u7dda\u662f\u5229\u7528\u5167\u63d2\u6cd5\u7372\u5f97\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\u6578\uff0c\u865b\u7dda\u70ba\u5916\u63a8\u6cd5\u7372\u5f97\u7684\u9810\u671f\u7269\u7a2e\u6578\uff0c\u6df1\u7070\u8272\u70ba95%\u7684\u4fe1\u8cf4\u5340\u9593\uff0c\u7d05\u8272\u865b\u7dda\u70ba\u5229\u7528Q1\u4f30\u8a08\u51fa\u7684\u771f\u5be6\u6578\u503c\u3002(B)\u5317\u7f8e\u3001\u5357\u7f8e\u3001\u6b50\u4e9e\u5927\u9678\u3001\u975e\u6d32\uff0c\u53ca\u5927\u6d0b\u6d32\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\u591a\u6a23\u6027\u4f30\u8a08\u503c\u3002\uff5c\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u6587\u737b1<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u540c\u958b\u982d\u6240\u8aaa\uff0c\u6839\u64da\u7814\u7a76\u63a8\u4f30\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u7684\u6a39\u7a2e\u7d04\u670973,000\u7a2e\uff08\u5716\u4e09\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u5f9e\u6d32\u7684\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u591a\u6a23\u6027\u53c8\u4ee5\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u6700\u9ad8(S<sub>est<\/sub>=31,112)\uff0c\u5176\u6b21\u70ba\u6b50\u4e9e\u5927\u9678(S<sub>est<\/sub>=16,264)\uff1b\u82e5\u5f9e\u751f\u7269\u5340\u7cfb(biome)\u7684\u5c3a\u5ea6\u8a0e\u8ad6\uff0c\u7269\u7a2e\u591a\u6a23\u6027\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u5730\u5340\u4e0d\u5916\u4e4e\u662f\u96e8\u6797(tropical)\u8207\u5e38\u7da0\u95ca\u8449\u6797(subtropical moist forest)\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u6eab\u5e36\u68ee\u6797\u8207\u4e7e\u65f1\u6797\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u975e\u68ee\u6797\u5730\u5340\uff08\u5982\u9ad8\u5c71\u8349\u539f\u3001\u704c\u53e2\u3001\u6c99\u6f20\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u5177\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u591a\u6a23\u6027\u3002<sup>[5]<\/sup><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-40101\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u56db-1024x656.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"384\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u56db-1024x656.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u56db-300x192.jpg 300w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u56db-768x492.jpg 768w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u56db.jpg 1493w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\u5716\u56db\u3001\u4ee5\u751f\u7269\u5340\u7cfb\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4f30\u8a08\u6a39\u6728\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\u591a\u6a23\u6027\u3002\uff5c\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u6587\u737b1<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u800c\u7a00\u5c11\u7a2e\u7684\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u4ee5\u5168\u7403\u5c3a\u5ea6\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7a00\u5c11\u7a2e\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\u6578\u5360\u6bd4\u7d0433%\uff0c\u4ee5\u6d32\u7684\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u975e\u6d32(38%)\u8207\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32(37%)\u5177\u6709\u6700\u9ad8\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u7a00\u5c11\u7a2e\u3002\u5df2\u88ab\u8a18\u9304\u7684\u7a00\u5c11\u7a2e\u5728\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\u4e2d\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u90fd\u662f\u6a23\u672c\u6578\u50c5\u70ba1\u62162\u7684\u7269\u7a2e\uff0c\u5728\u751f\u7269\u5b78\u5bb6\u6709\u66f4\u7cbe\u7d30\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u767c\u8868\u524d\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u751a\u81f3\u5f88\u96e3\u77e5\u9053\u4e9b\u7a00\u5c11\u6a39\u7a2e\u7684\u78ba\u5207\u65cf\u7fa4\u5927\u5c0f\u8207\u5206\u5e03\u7bc4\u570d\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u6700\u5f8c\uff0c\u95dc\u65bc\u5404\u6d32\u4e4b\u9593\u7269\u7a2e\u7684\u6bd4\u8f03\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e94\u5927\u6d32\u5171\u6709\u7684\u6a39\u7a2e\u50c5\u5360\u6bd4\u4e0d\u53ca0.1%\uff0c\u5171\u4eab\u7269\u7a2e\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u70ba\u5317\u7f8e\u6d32\uff0d\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\uff0c\u5176\u6b21\u5247\u70ba\u6b50\u4e9e\u5927\u9678\uff0d\u5927\u6d0b\u6d32\uff1b\u800c\u4ee5\u7368\u7279\u6027\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u5177\u6709\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u7279\u6709\u7a2e(endemic species)\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4f30\u8a08\u503c(49%)\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u6578\u64da\u53ef\u4ee5\u9593\u63a5\u505a\u70ba\u751f\u7269\u5730\u7406\u5b78\u7684\u4f50\u8b49\u4f9d\u64da\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u4e86\u89e3\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u7684\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6a23\u6027\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e6b\u52a9\u6211\u5011\u77e5\u9053\u81ea\u5df1\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u600e\u6a23\u7684\u74b0\u5883\u4e2d\uff1b\u68ee\u6797\u662f\u7dad\u6301\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u751f\u614b\u7cfb\u5e73\u8861\u4e2d\u76f8\u7576\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u89d2\u8272\uff0c\u4e86\u89e3\u68ee\u6797\u53ca\u5176\u591a\u6a23\u6027\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8aaa\u662f\u4eba\u5011\u5b78\u7fd2\u6c38\u7e8c\u53ca\u7dad\u8b77\u751f\u614b\u7cfb\u7d71\u7684\u57fa\u77f3\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u85c9\u7531\u8a31\u591a\u751f\u614b\u5b78\u8005\u548c\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78\u8005\u7684\u52aa\u529b\uff0c\u624d\u6709\u4e86\u73fe\u5728\u5168\u7403\u6a39\u6728\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\u548c\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6a23\u6027\u63a8\u4f30\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6210\u679c\uff1b\u800c\u6211\u5011\u5f97\u4ee5\u66f4\u52a0\u63a5\u8fd1\u554f\u984c\u7684\u771f\u6b63\u7b54\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u8a3b\u89e3\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>[1] \u6a23\u672c\u6db5\u84cb\u7387(sample coverage)\uff0c\u6307\u5728\u6a23\u672c\u4e2d\uff0c\u770b\u5230\u6240\u6709\u7269\u7a2e\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[2]&nbsp;<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u4f30\u8a08\u74b0\u5883\u5b78\u4e2d\u4e4b\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u7684\u6fc3\u5ea6 <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/WR017i001p00243\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/WR017i001p00243 <\/a><\/p>\n<p>[3]\u4f30\u8a08\u8003\u53e4\u5b78\u4e0a\u6587\u737b\u907a\u7559\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b <a href=\"https:\/\/spec.ntu.edu.tw\/20220426-research-math\/\">https:\/\/spec.ntu.edu.tw\/20220426-research-math\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[4] \u4f30\u8a08\u838e\u58eb\u6bd4\u4e9e\u8166\u4e2d\u7684\u8a5e\u5f59\u91cf <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/biomet\/63.3.435\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/biomet\/63.3.435<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[5] \u53c3\u539f\u6587\u737b\u9644\u4ef6 1 \u4e4b\u8868 2 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.2115329119#supplementary-materials\">https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.2115329119#supplementary-materials<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u53c3\u8003\u8cc7\u6599\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gatti, R. C. et al. (2022) The number of tree species on Earth. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 119 (6) e2115329119. <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.2115329119\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.2115329119<\/a><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Chao, A. and Chiu, C. H. (2016). Species richness: estimation and comparison. Wiley StatsRef: Statistics Reference Online. 1-26. &nbsp;DOI:10.1002\/9781118445112.stat03432.pub2<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">More Than 9,000 Tree Species Await Scientific Description. The Scientist (Website). 2022-2-1. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.the-scientist.com\/news-opinion\/more-than-9-000-tree-species-await-scientific-description-69665\">https:\/\/www.the-scientist.com\/news-opinion\/more-than-9-000-tree-species-await-scientific-description-69665<\/a><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u7a2e\u985e\u7684\u6a39\uff0c\u662f\u76f8\u7576\u5927\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff01\u672c\u6587\u4ecb\u7d39 2022\u5e74\u4e00\u7bc7\u7814\u7a76\u5229\u7528GFBI(Global Forest Biodiversity Initiative)\u53caTREECHANGE\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6a23\u6027\u7684chao2\u7d71\u8a08\u91cf\uff0c\u4f30\u8a08\u51fa\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u7684\u6a39\u7a2e\u63a8\u4f30\u91cf\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u7d04\u670973,000\u7a2e\u6a39\u6728\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7d04\u67099,000\u9918\u7a2e\u5c1a\u672a\u88ab\u767c\u8868\u6216\u63cf\u8ff0\u904e\u3002\u4ee5\u6d32\u7684\u5c3a\u5ea6\u53ef\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u7684\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6a23\u6027\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u6f5b\u5728\u7684\u672a\u767c\u8868\u7269\u7a2e\u4e5f\u6700\u591a\u22ef\u22ef<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":40098,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[191,3293,148,2977,26],"tags":[5344,6411,424,2562],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/\u5716\u4e00.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40102"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/20"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=40102"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40102\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40105,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40102\/revisions\/40105"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/40098"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=40102"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=40102"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=40102"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}