{"id":34802,"date":"2019-12-30T00:28:46","date_gmt":"2019-12-29T16:28:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=34802"},"modified":"2020-01-06T18:13:51","modified_gmt":"2020-01-06T10:13:51","slug":"%e3%80%90%e6%8e%a2%e7%b4%a222-4%e3%80%91%e5%95%8f%e9%a2%a8%e9%9b%a8%e9%9b%b7%e9%9c%86%e4%b9%8b%e6%95%85","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=34802","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u63a2\u7d2222-4\u3011\u554f\u98a8\u96e8\u96f7\u9706\u4e4b\u6545"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><span style=\"color: #333399;\">\u65e9\u5728\u5169\u5343\u591a\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u838a\u5b50\u5c31\u66fe\u7d93\u7559\u4e0b\u300c\u554f\u5929\u5730\u6240\u4ee5\u4e0d\u589c\u4e0d\u9677\uff0c\u98a8\u96e8\u96f7\u9706\u4e4b\u6545\u300d\u4e00\u8fad\uff0c\u53ef\u898b\u5929\u6c23\u662f\u81ea\u53e4\u4ee5\u4f86\u70ba\u4eba\u5011\u6240\u95dc\u5fc3\u7684\u8ab2\u984c\uff1b\u9019\u4efd\u95dc\u5fc3\u5230\u4eca\u5929\u6216\u8a31\u9084\u8981\u6709\u589e\u7121\u6e1b\uff0c\u8209\u51e1\u5de5\u4f5c\u3001\u805a\u6703\u3001\u65c5\u884c\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u7a7f\u8457\u6253\u626e\u90fd\u6703\u53c3\u8003\u6c23\u8c61\u9810\u5831\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u8cc7\u8a0a\uff1b\u4eba\u5011\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6642\u70ba\u6c23\u8c61\u5929\u5019\u800c\u611f\u52d5\u597d\u5947\u3002\u90ed\u9d3b\u57fa\u6559\u6388\u5f9e\u79d1\u5b78\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u672c\u8cea\u51fa\u767c\uff0c\u5f9e\u6c23\u8c61\u5b78\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u4e2d\u89c0\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u601d\u7dad\u5982\u4f55\u6f14\u66ff\uff0c\u9032\u800c\u63a2\u770b\u5728\u7576\u4ee3\uff0c\u5927\u5e45\u8e8d\u9032\u7684\u8a08\u7b97\u6a5f\u80fd\u529b\u5982\u4f55\u5354\u52a9\u6c23\u8c61\u5b78\u5bb6\u66f4\u7cbe\u78ba\u7684\u638c\u63e1\u5929\u6c23\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8b1b\u8005\uff5c<\/strong><strong>\u81fa\u7063\u5927\u5b78\u5927\u6c23\u79d1\u5b78\u7cfb\u6559\u6388&nbsp;<\/strong><strong>\u90ed\u9d3b\u57fa<\/strong><strong><br \/>\n\u5f59\u6574\u64b0\u6587\uff5c\u8607\u5efa\u7ff0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080;\"><strong>\u25cf\u79d1\u5b78\u7814\u7a76\u5982\u540c\u778e\u5b50\u6478\u8c61<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u6771\u65b9\u8a8d\u77e5\u8ad6\u88e1\uff0c\u5f88\u65e9\u5c31\u958b\u59cb\u601d\u8003\u77e5\u8b58\u7684\u4fb7\u9650\u6027\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u838a\u5b50\u63d0\u904e\u300c\u4e95\u86d9\u4e0d\u53ef\u4ee5\u8a9e\u65bc\u6d77\u8005\uff0c\u62d8\u65bc\u865b\u4e5f\uff1b\u590f\u87f2\u4e0d\u53ef\u4ee5\u8a9e\u65bc\u51b0\u8005\uff0c\u7be4\u4e8e\u6642\u4e5f\u300d\uff0c\u4e95\u86d9\u4e4b\u65bc\u6d77\u662f\u7a7a\u9593\u4e0a\u7684\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u590f\u87f2\u4e4b\u65bc\u51b0\u5247\u56ff\u65bc\u6642\u9593\u4e0a\u7684\u5340\u9694\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u6240\u80fd\u770b\u898b\u4e26\u52a0\u4ee5\u601d\u8003\u7684\u9762\u5411\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u662f\u53d7\u5176\u51fa\u8eab\u7684\u6642\u7a7a\u80cc\u666f\u9650\u5236\u7684\uff1b\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u300c\u543e\u751f\u4e5f\u6709\u6daf\uff0c\u543e\u77e5\u4e5f\u7121\u6daf\uff0c\u4ee5\u6709\u6daf\u9010\u7121\u6daf\uff0c\u6b86\u77e3\u300d\u5247\u66f4\u6e05\u695a\u7684\u9ede\u51fa\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u7528\u76e1\u4e00\u751f\u4e5f\u7121\u6cd5\u7fd2\u5f97\u9019\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u7684\u6240\u6709\u771f\u7406\uff0c\u79d1\u5b78\u7814\u7a76\u5f80\u5f80\u53ea\u80fd\u900f\u904e\u6709\u9650\u6642\u7a7a\u4e4b\u89c0\u5bdf\u8cc7\u6599\u8a66\u5716\u63a8\u5c0e\u80fd\u7528\u4f86\u63cf\u8ff0\u7121\u9650\u6642\u7a7a\u7684\u6cd5\u5247\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34803\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34803\" style=\"width: 500px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-34803\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/\u5716\u4e00.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"221\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/\u5716\u4e00.jpg 753w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/\u5716\u4e00-300x133.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34803\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u5716\u4e00\u3001\u79d1\u5b78\u65b9\u6cd5 (\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u90ed\u9d3b\u57fa\u6559\u6388)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u79d1\u5b78\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u9032\u884c\uff0c\u6216\u8a31\u53ef\u4ee5\u6bd4\u64ec\u6210\u778e\u5b50\u6478\u8c61\u7684\u904e\u7a0b\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u540c\u4e00\u96bb\u5927\u8c61\uff0c\u4e5f\u6703\u56e0\u70ba\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u611f\u5b98\u4e0d\u540c\u3001\u63a5\u89f8\u7684\u90e8\u4f4d\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u800c\u5f97\u5230\u4e0d\u76e1\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u7d50\u8ad6\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u4e0d\u540c\u65b9\u5f0f\u300c\u6478\u300d\u4f86\u7684\u7d50\u8ad6\uff0c\u5fc5\u9808\u80fd\u5920\u7d93\u5f97\u8d77\u6aa2\u9a57\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u6210\u70ba\u300c\u4e8b\u5be6(Fact)\u300d\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u6d41\u65bc\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u300c\u610f\u898b(Opinion)\u300d\u3002\u7d93\u904e\u9577\u6642\u9593\u7684\u6478\u7d22\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u79d1\u5b78\u767c\u5c55\u51fa\u4e00\u500b\u7cfb\u7d71\u6027\u7684\u3001\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u79d1\u5b78\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5960\u57fa\u65bc\u908f\u8f2f\uff0c\u5728\u6709\u9650\u7684\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u5047\u8aaa\u4e26\u9032\u884c\u9a57\u8b49\u8207\u9810\u5831\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u4e0d\u505c\u5730\u4fee\u8a02\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u9577\u671f\u4e0b\u4f86\u6211\u5011\u5c31\u80fd\u5f97\u5230\u66f4\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u77e5\u8b58\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u6771\u65b9\u6211\u5011\u5e38\u8aaa\u300c\u5b78\u800c\u4e0d\u601d\u5247\u7f54\uff0c\u601d\u800c\u4e0d\u5b78\u5247\u6b86\u300d\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u897f\u65b9\u5247\u5c07\u5b78\u601d\u6574\u5408\u5728\u79d1\u5b78\u5beb\u4f5c\u5167\uff0c\u4e26\u767c\u5c55\u51fa\u4e00\u5957\u65b9\u6cd5\u8ad6\uff1a\u5f9e\u5b9a\u7fa9\u554f\u984c\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u8a2d\u8a08\u3001\u57f7\u884c\u5be6\u9a57\uff0c\u63a5\u8457\u6aa2\u9a57\u8207\u89e3\u91cb\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u6700\u5f8c\u9032\u884c\u5b8c\u6574\u7acb\u8ad6\u4e26\u9023\u7d50\u5916\u90e8\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u5beb\u4f5c\u5c31\u662f\u6700\u9ad8\u968e\u7684\u601d\u8003\uff0c\u900f\u904e\u79d1\u5b78\u5beb\u4f5c\u7684\u904e\u7a0b\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u68b3\u7406\u81ea\u5df1\u5c0d\u554f\u984c\u7406\u89e3\u7684\u8db3\u8207\u4e0d\u8db3\u4e4b\u8655\uff0c\u4ee5\u5beb\u4f5c\u4f86\u5b8c\u5584\u79d1\u5b78\u63a2\u5c31\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080;\"><strong>\u25cf\u6578\u91cf\u8b93\u77e5\u8b58\u6e05\u6670\u2014\u2014\u6c23\u8c61\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u6578\u5b78\u601d\u7dad<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u65e9\u671f\uff0c\u4eba\u5011\u666e\u904d\u76f8\u4fe1\u5b50\u4ee3\u7684\u7279\u6027\u662f\u7531\u96d9\u89aa\u6df7\u548c\u800c\u4f86\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u4fe1\u5ff5\u5176\u5be6\u53ea\u8981\u900f\u904e\u7c21\u55ae\u7684\u6578\u5b78\u5217\u5f0f\uff0c\u5c31\u6703\u5bdf\u89ba\u8e4a\u8e7a\u4e4b\u8655\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5047\u4f7f\u8a72\u8aaa\u6cd5\u70ba\u771f\uff0c\u9577\u6b64\u4ee5\u5f80\u5f8c\u4ee3\u7684\u7279\u6027\u6703\u8da8\u5411\u55ae\u4e00\uff0c\u660e\u986f\u8207\u5be6\u969b\u60c5\u6cc1\u6709\u6240\u51fa\u5165\u3002\u5f9e\u9019\u500b\u4f8b\u5b50\u53ef\u4ee5\u8aaa\u660e\uff0c\u8981\u7814\u7a76\u4e00\u500b\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u5728\u5584\u7528\u79d1\u5b78\u65b9\u6cd5\u3001\u79d1\u5b78\u5beb\u4f5c\u65b9\u6cd5\u8ad6\u7b49\u5de5\u5177\u5e6b\u52a9\u601d\u8003\u4ee5\u5916\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u6211\u5011\u9084\u9700\u8981\u548c\u8a72\u554f\u984c\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u6578\u5b78\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u8aaa\u662f\u6578\u5b78\u601d\u7dad\uff0c\u6578\u5b78\u601d\u7dad\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e6b\u52a9\u6211\u5011\u63d0\u51fa\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u6709\u91cf\u5316\u7684\u6578\u5b57\uff0c\u77e5\u8b58\u4e5f\u6703\u66f4\u6e05\u6670\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u8a31\u591a\u7684\u79d1\u5b78\u9818\u57df\uff0c\u8a72\u5b78\u79d1\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u5176\u5be6\u5c31\u662f\u7531\u4e00\u9023\u4e32\u91cf\u5316\u6578\u5b57\u6240\u66f8\u5beb\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\uff0c\u9019\u5728\u6c23\u8c61\u5b78\u4e0a\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f8b\u5916\u3002\u5f69\u8679\u5982\u4f55\u7684\u7d62\u5f69\u6591\u6595\u3001\u6735\u6735\u767d\u96f2\u5982\u4f55\u8b93\u4eba\u81ea\u5728\u3001\u98b1\u98a8\u4f86\u81e8\u53c8\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u8b93\u4eba\u7e43\u7dca\u795e\u7d93\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u5927\u773e\u5728\u9762\u5c0d\u4e0d\u540c\u5929\u6c23\u6642\u5bb9\u6613\u6709\u7684\u611f\u53d7\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u5728\u7576\u4ee3\u7684\u6c23\u8c61\u5be6\u9a57\u5ba4\u88e1\uff0c\u5404\u7a2e\u5929\u6c23\u73fe\u8c61\u4e26\u975e\u7531\u611f\u53d7\u7d44\u6210\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u7528\u6578\u5b57\u4f86\u5448\u73fe\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6210\u529f\u4f30\u7b97\u5f57\u661f\u56de\u6b78\u9031\u671f\u7684\u54c8\u96f7(Edmond Halley, 1656-1742)\u66fe\u7d93\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u500b\u5927\u54c9\u554f\uff1a\u300c\u5929\u6587\u5b78\u53ef\u4ee5\u9810\u6e2c76\u5e74\u7684\u5c3a\u5ea6\uff0c\u70ba\u4f55\u6c23\u8c61\u4e0d\u884c\uff1f\u300d\u8981\u56de\u7b54\u9019\u500b\u554f\u984c\u5c31\u5fc5\u9808\u8981\u77e5\u9053\u5929\u6c23\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u7531\u7dda\u6027\u9084\u662f\u975e\u7dda\u6027\u63a7\u5236\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\u4f86\u63cf\u8ff0\u3002\u7dda\u6027\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\u53ef\u4ee5\u60f3\u50cf\u7531\u52a0\u6e1b\u7b26\u865f\u7d44\u6210\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u8b8a\u5316\u8f03\u5e73\u7de9\uff0c\u975e\u7dda\u6027\u7cfb\u7d71\u5247\u5e38\u7531\u4e58\u9664\u865f\u7d44\u6210\uff0c\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u5e45\u5ea6\u3001\u983b\u7387\u901a\u5e38\u8f03\u70ba\u5287\u70c8\uff0c\u6d89\u53ca\u8de8\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u4ea4\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u5929\u6c23\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u96e3\u4ee5\u9810\u6599\uff0c\u5728\u65bc\u5176\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\u4e3b\u8981\u7531\u975e\u7dda\u6027\u7cfb\u7d71\u7d44\u6210\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080;\"><strong>\u25cf\u8a08\u7b97\u6a5f\u7684\u52a0\u5165\u4fc3\u9032\u6c23\u8c61\u5b78\u5f80\u5be6\u9a57\u79d1\u5b78\u7684\u8f49\u5411<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34804\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34804\" style=\"width: 628px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34804\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/\u5716\u4e8c.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"628\" height=\"375\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/\u5716\u4e8c.jpg 628w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/\u5716\u4e8c-300x179.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 628px) 100vw, 628px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34804\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u5716\u4e8c\u3001\u7406\u67e5\u68ee\u7684\u5929\u6c23\u9810\u5831\u5047\u60f3(\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u7dad\u57fa\u767e\u79d1, Public Domain)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u7406\u67e5\u68ee(Lewis Fry Richardson, 1881-1953)\u662f\u4e00\u4f4d\u64c1\u8b77\u548c\u5e73\u4e3b\u7fa9\u7684\u82f1\u570b\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\uff0c\u5728\u5176\u4e00\u6230\u671f\u9593\u64d4\u4efb\u6551\u8b77\u8eca\u99d5\u99db\u54e1\u7684\u5169\u5e74\uff0c\u9592\u6687\u6642\u5c08\u6ce8\u5728\u8a08\u7b97\u6c23\u8c61\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u975e\u7dda\u6027\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\uff0c\u8a66\u5716\u9032\u884c\u6c23\u8c61\u9810\u6e2c\u3002\u5f8c\u4f86\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6c23\u8c61\u9810\u5831\u5e6b\u52a9\u6bd2\u6c23\u65bd\u653e\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u6df1\u60e1\u75db\u7d55\u800c\u4e0d\u518d\u9032\u884c\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u4e5f\u7559\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u672a\u7adf\u7684\u5922\u60f3\uff1a\u7406\u67e5\u68ee\u5e0c\u671b\u80fd\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u500b\u9810\u5831\u7d44\u7e54\uff0c\u5c07\u5168\u7403\u5207\u5206\u6210\u516d\u842c\u56db\u5343\u683c\u7db2\u683c\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u500b\u7db2\u683c\u5206\u914d\u4e00\u4f4d\u8a08\u7b97\u54e1\u9032\u884c\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\u7684\u904b\u7b97\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u9054\u5230\u5168\u7403\u6c23\u8c61\u5373\u6642\u9810\u5831\u7684\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u9019\u53ef\u4ee5\u8aaa\u662f\u5e73\u884c\u8655\u7406\u60f3\u6cd5\u7684\u5148\u9a45\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ee5\u7576\u6642\u7684\u6642\u7a7a\u80cc\u666f\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u9019\u60f3\u6cd5\u662f\u76f8\u7576\u5929\u99ac\u884c\u7a7a\u7684\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u4eba\u529b\u9032\u884c\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u904b\u7b97\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u5f97\u5230\u77ed\u6642\u9593\u5167\u7684\u5929\u6c23\u9810\u5831\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u7576\u6642\u5c0d\u6c23\u8c61\u63a7\u5236\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\u7406\u89e3\u4ea6\u4e0d\u8db3\u3001\u89c0\u6e2c\u4e4b\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u53ca\u8aa4\u5dee\u9084\u53ef\u80fd\u76f8\u7576\u5de8\u5927\u3002\u5230\u4e86\u73fe\u4ee3\uff0c\u6c23\u8c61\u79d1\u5b78\u4e4b\u4e86\u89e3\u52a0\u4e0a\u6709\u96fb\u8166\u7684\u5354\u52a9\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u8aaa\u5df2\u7d93\u4ee3\u66ff\u7406\u67e5\u68ee\u5b8c\u6210\u4ed6\u7684\u5922\u60f3\u3002ENIAC (Electronic Numerical Integrator and Computer)\u4f5c\u70ba\u53f2\u4e0a\u7b2c\u4e00\u90e8\u901a\u7528\u96fb\u8166\uff0c\u5373\u88ab\u6295\u5165\u6c23\u8c61\u9810\u5831\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u9032\u6b65\u3001\u8a08\u7b97\u80fd\u529b\u5927\u5e45\u7684\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u7576\u96fb\u8166\u9810\u5831\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u9010\u6f38\u8d85\u904e\u9810\u5831\u54e1\u7684\u7d93\u9a57\u6642\uff0c\u4e5f\u6a19\u8a8c\u8457\u6c23\u8c61\u5b78\u5f80\u6578\u503c\u6a21\u64ec\u3001\u5be6\u9a57\u79d1\u5b78\u7684\u8f49\u5411\uff0c\u4e0d\u518d\u53ea\u662f\u904e\u5f80\u55ae\u7d14\u4ee5\u6c23\u8c61\u5716\u5224\u8b80\u70ba\u4e3b\u7684\u7d93\u9a57\u79d1\u5b78\uff0c\u6c23\u8c61\u6578\u5b78\u6a21\u5f0f\u662f\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u7684\u5be6\u9a57\u5ba4\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080;\"><strong>\u25cf\u6578\u503c\u6a21\u64ec\u7684\u6311\u6230\u8207\u6c23\u8c61\u5b78\u7684\u672a\u4f86<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u60f3\u8981\u76e1\u53ef\u80fd\u6e96\u78ba\u7684\u8a08\u7b97\u6c23\u8c61\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u975e\u7dda\u6027\u7cfb\u7d71\uff0c\u5c31\u9700\u8981\u9762\u5c0d\u5e7e\u500b\u6578\u503c\u6a21\u64ec\u7684\u6311\u6230\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u4e00\u500b\u7cfb\u7d71\u4e2d\u6703\u6709\u8a31\u591a\u4e0d\u540c\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u4ea4\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4e0d\u50c5\u5728\u5f71\u97ff\u7684\u7a7a\u9593\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4e0a\u4e0d\u540c\u3001\u5728\u7522\u751f\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u6578\u91cf\u7d1a\u4e0a\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u7684\u6642\u9593\u9577\u5ea6\u4e5f\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u5728\u6578\u503c\u6a21\u64ec\u4e2d\u6211\u5011\u5e38\u5e38\u9700\u8981\u5ffd\u7565\u4e4d\u770b\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5fae\u4e0d\u8db3\u9053\u7684\u56e0\u5b50\uff0c\u9019\u5c31\u5c0e\u81f4\u6a21\u64ec\u7684\u8aa4\u5dee\u7522\u751f\uff0c\u5728\u975e\u7dda\u6027\u7cfb\u7d71\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u898f\u6a21\u5c0f\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0d\u8003\u616e\uff0c\u5c0f\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4e4b\u64fe\u52d5\u4ea6\u53ef\u6210\u9577\u6210\u8f03\u5927\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u7cfb\u7d71\uff0c\u50cf\u662f\u71b1\u5e36\u5e73\u975c\u7121\u98a8\u7684\u5730\u5340\u4e4b\u5c0f\u64fe\u52d5\u53ef\u4ee5\u6f38\u6f38\u5f62\u6210\u98b1\u98a8\uff0c\u5c0d\u53f0\u7063\u4eba\u4f86\u8aaa\u5373\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u719f\u6089\u7684\u5929\u6c23\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u9019\u985e\u7121\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u4e5f\u662f\u6240\u5728\u591a\u6709\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34805\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34805\" style=\"width: 475px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34805\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/\u5716\u4e09.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"475\" height=\"446\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/\u5716\u4e09.jpg 475w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/\u5716\u4e09-300x282.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 475px) 100vw, 475px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34805\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u5716\u4e09\u3001\u975e\u7dda\u6027\u7cfb\u7d71\u5fae\u5c0f\u7684\u521d\u59cb\u689d\u4ef6\u80fd\u5c0e\u81f4\u5dee\u7570\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u6a6b\u8ef8\u70ba\u6642\u9593(\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u90ed\u9d3b\u57fa\u6559\u6388)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u7f8e\u570b\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u52de\u502b\u8332(Edward Norton Lorenz, 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