{"id":25679,"date":"2016-10-17T00:31:49","date_gmt":"2016-10-16T16:31:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=25679"},"modified":"2018-08-03T15:16:56","modified_gmt":"2018-08-03T07:16:56","slug":"%e4%bd%9c%e5%87%ba%e9%8c%af%e8%aa%a4%e6%b1%ba%e5%ae%9a%e7%9a%84%e9%97%9c%e9%8d%b5%e5%8e%9f%e5%9b%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=25679","title":{"rendered":"\u4f5c\u51fa\u932f\u8aa4\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u539f\u56e0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #333399;\"><strong>\u25a0\u5e38\u5e38\u4e0b\u5b8c\u6c7a\u5b9a\u611f\u5230\u61ca\u60f1\u55ce\uff1f\u4e09\u4f4d\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u900f\u904e\u7814\u7a76\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u897f\u6d0b\u68cb\u8b5c\uff0c\u767c\u73fe\u4e86\u95dc\u9375\u6642\u523b\u4f5c\u51fa\u932f\u8aa4\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_25681\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-25681\" style=\"width: 450px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-25681\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Img331448348.jpg\" alt=\"\u4f60\u5e38\u5e38\u56e0\u70ba\u505a\u932f\u6c7a\u5b9a\u611f\u5230\u61ca\u60f1\u55ce?\" width=\"450\" height=\"339\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-25681\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u4f60\u5e38\u5e38\u56e0\u70ba\u505a\u932f\u6c7a\u5b9a\u611f\u5230\u61ca\u60f1\u55ce?<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>\u64b0\u6587\uff5c<\/strong>\u9673\u52c1\u8c6a<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u7121\u8ad6\u5728\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u4e2d\u6216\u662f\u5c08\u696d\u9818\u57df\u4e2d\uff0c\u90fd\u6709\u8a31\u591a\u5373\u6642\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u6c7a\u5b9a\u8981\u4f5c\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa\u6295\u8cc7\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u7576\u4e0b\u9700\u8981\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7acb\u523b\u8cb7\u9032\u6216\u8ce3\u51fa\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u5546\u5834\u8ac7\u5224\u9700\u8981\u7acb\u523b\u6c7a\u5b9a\u751f\u610f\u662f\u5426\u6210\u4ea4\u3002\u800c\u5728\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u4e2d\u5247\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u767c\u751f\u5eda\u623f\u7684\u934b\u5b50\u71d2\u4e86\u8d77\u4f86\u7684\u9019\u7a2e\u7a81\u767c\u72c0\u6cc1\u8981\u5982\u4f55\u7acb\u5373\u8655\u7406\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u7576\u6a5f\u7acb\u65b7\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a\u5f80\u5f80\u662f\u4e00\u4ef6\u4e8b\u60c5\u5f8c\u7e8c\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u6210\u529f\u8207\u5426\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u8a31\u591a\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u90fd\u6295\u6ce8\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\u5fc3\u529b\u5e0c\u671b\u80fd\u5920\u77e5\u9053\u80fd\u5920\u505a\u51fa\u6b63\u78ba\u95dc\u9375\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a\u6027\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\u5728\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u5be6\u9a57\u76f8\u7576\u96e3\u8a2d\u8a08\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u8a31\u591a\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u5be6\u9a57\u7d50\u679c\u7684\u8b8a\u56e0\u90fd\u5f88\u96e3\u91cf\u5316\u3002\u7d10\u7d04\u5e02\u5fae\u8edf\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u7684Ashton Anderson\uff0c\u5eb7\u4e43\u723e\u5927\u5b78\u7684Jon Kleinberg\u9084\u6709\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b78\u7684Sendhil Mullainathan\u627e\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u7d55\u4f73\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7d20\u6750\uff1a\u897f\u6d0b\u68cb\u3002\u897f\u6d0b\u68cb\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u662f\u4e00\u9023\u4e32\u7684\u5373\u6642\u6c7a\u5b9a\uff0c\u7576\u51fa\u73fe\u6c7a\u5b9a\u4e0a\u7684\u5931\u8aa4\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u4e0b\u932f\u4e00\u6b65\u68cb\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u4ee3\u50f9\u5c31\u662f\u8f38\u4e86\u9019\u76e4\u68cb\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u5f9e\u52dd\u6557\u95dc\u4fc2\u4e2d\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u76f8\u5c0d\u5bb9\u6613\u7684\u77e5\u9053\u90a3\u4e00\u65b9\u72af\u4e86\u95dc\u9375\u7684\u932f\u8aa4\u3002\u7559\u4e0b\u4f86\u7684\u68cb\u8b5c\u5247\u53ef\u4ee5\u8b93\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u54e1\u4e00\u6b65\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u91cd\u5efa\u6574\u500b\u6c7a\u7b56\u904e\u7a0b\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5c0d\u624b\u7684\u5f37\u5f31\uff0c\u6642\u9593\u58d3\u529b\u7684\u6025\u8feb\u6027\uff0c\u9084\u6709\u7576\u6642\u5c40\u9762\u7684\u56f0\u96e3\u5ea6\u3002<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u5011\u5229\u7528\u897f\u6d0b\u68cb\u7db2\u7ad9\u4e2d\u6240\u7559\u4e0b\u7684\u9f90\u5927\u5c0d\u5c40\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\u4f86\u7814\u7a76\u5f71\u97ff\u4eba\u985e\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u6574\u500b\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\u7d04\u6709\u5169\u5104\u5834\u696d\u9918\u9078\u624b\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u5c0d\u5c40\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u9084\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\u662f\u7d04\u4e00\u767e\u842c\u5834\u662f\u7531\u897f\u6d0b\u68cb\u7684\u7279\u7d1a\u5927\u5e2b\u7684\u5c0d\u5c40\u3002\u900f\u904e\u9019\u6a23\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab\uff0c\u9019\u4e09\u4f4d\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u54e1\u53ef\u4ee5\u9650\u5236\u90e8\u4efd\u8b8a\u56e0\uff0c\u9078\u53d6\u7d04\u7565\u76f8\u7576\u7684\u6642\u9593\u8207\u5c40\u9762\u96e3\u5ea6\uff0c\u770b\u770b\u9078\u624b\u7684\u6280\u5de7\u8207\u6c7a\u7b56\u6b63\u78ba\u6027\u7684\u76f8\u95dc\u6027\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u5176\u4ed6\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u5011\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u767c\u73fe\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u767c\u73fe\u51fa\u932f\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a\u8207\u601d\u8003\u554f\u984c\u7684\u6642\u9593\u6709\u95dc\uff0c\u60f3\u7684\u8d8a\u77ed\u8d8a\u5bb9\u6613\u51fa\u932f\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u60f3\u7684\u8d8a\u4e45\u4e26\u4e0d\u6703\u7121\u9650\u5236\u7684\u6e1b\u5c0f\u51fa\u932f\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u60f3\u8d85\u904e\u5341\u79d2\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u51fa\u932f\u7387\u5c31\u6c92\u6709\u986f\u8457\u6539\u8b8a\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u89e3\u91cb\u662f\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u4eba\u60f3\u5230\u4e00\u5b9a\u6642\u9593\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u5c31\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u8a72\u600e\u9ebc\u8fa6\u4e86\u3002\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u5c40\u9762\u7684\u56f0\u96e3\u5ea6\u4e5f\u8207\u51fa\u932f\u6a5f\u7387\u6210\u6b63\u6bd4\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u4e00\u822c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9ad8\u624b\u505a\u51fa\u6b63\u78ba\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u6bd4\u8f03\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\u4ed6\u5011\u4e5f\u767c\u73fe\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u5947\u602a\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u628a\u9ad8\u624b\u8ddf\u696d\u9918\u4eba\u58eb\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u9ad8\u624b\u7684\u51fa\u932f\u7387\u53cd\u800c\u6bd4\u696d\u9918\u68cb\u624b\u9ad8\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u627f\u8a8d\u9019\u500b\u767c\u73fe\u8207\u6211\u5011\u7684\u76f4\u89ba\u5b8c\u5168\u76f8\u53cd\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u4ed6\u5011\u9700\u8981\u53e6\u5916\u82b1\u6642\u9593\u4f86\u78ba\u8a8d\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6703\u6709\u9019\u7a2e\u73fe\u8c61\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u4e00\u822c\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u9ad8\u624b\u6c92\u6709\u7406\u7531\u7279\u5225\u5bb9\u6613\u767c\u751f\u932f\u8aa4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u90a3\u9019\u500b\u7814\u7a76\u5c0d\u6211\u5011\u7684\u73fe\u5be6\u751f\u6d3b\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5f71\u97ff\uff1f\u4ed6\u5011\u8209\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u8ddf\u958b\u8eca\u6709\u95dc\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa\uff0c\u6709\u7d93\u9a57\u7684\u99d5\u99db\u5728\u5371\u96aa\u8def\u6cc1\u4e0a\u51fa\u4e8b\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u8ddf\u99d5\u99db\u65b0\u624b\u5728\u76f8\u5c0d\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u9053\u8def\u4e0a\u51fa\u610f\u5916\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u54ea\u500b\u6703\u9ad8\u4e00\u4e9b\uff1f\u800c\u5982\u679c\u4ed6\u5011\u767c\u73fe\u7684\u9ad8\u624b\u51fa\u932f\u7387\u6703\u6bd4\u696d\u9918\u68cb\u624b\u9ad8\uff0c\u90a3\u9019\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u8868\u793a\u540c\u6a23\u5728\u9ad8\u901f\u516c\u8def\u4e0a\u958b\u8eca\uff0c\u8cc7\u6df1\u8001\u624b\u51fa\u8eca\u798d\u7684\u610f\u5916\u6703\u6bd4\u65b0\u624b\u99d5\u99db\u9ad8\u4e00\u4e9b\uff1f\u6703\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u6280\u8853\u9ad8\u8d85\u800c\u5c0e\u81f4\u5fc3\u7406\u653e\u9b06\u800c\u6703\u6bd4\u6230\u6230\u5162\u5162\u7684\u65b0\u624b\u99d5\u99db\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u51fa\u610f\u5916\u55ce\uff1f\u6211\u5011\u4e00\u822c\u6703\u8a8d\u70ba\u65b0\u624b\u99d5\u99db\u8ddf\u4e0d\u5c08\u5fc3\u7684\u99d5\u99db\u662f\u767c\u751f\u4ea4\u901a\u4e8b\u6545\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5982\u679c\u9053\u8def\u7684\u5371\u96aa\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5176\u5be6\u6bd4\u99d5\u99db\u7684\u6280\u8853\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u9020\u6210\u610f\u5916\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u6211\u5011\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u61c9\u8a72\u8003\u616e\u8b93\u5bb9\u6613\u8087\u4e8b\u7684\u8def\u6bb5\u662f\u8457\u8b93\u5b83\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u4ee5\u6709\u6548\u964d\u4f4e\u8087\u4e8b\u7387\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u7576\u7136\u9019\u7a2e\u7814\u7a76\u53ef\u4ee5\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u80af\u5b9a\u662f\u5927\u65bc\u897f\u6d0b\u68cb\u8207\u9053\u8def\u99d5\u99db\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u6beb\u7121\u7591\u554f\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u65b0\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u6cd5\u5df2\u7d93\u958b\u555f\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u65b0\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u539f\u59cb\u8ad6\u6587<\/strong><br \/>\nAssessing Human Error Against a Benchmark of Perfection<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/1606.04956\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">arxiv.org\/abs\/1606.04956<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u76f8\u95dc\u5831\u5c0e<\/strong><br \/>\nMIT Technology Review 2016\/06\/24: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyreview.com\/s\/601774\/data-mining-reveals-the-crucial-factors-that-determine-when-people-make-blunders\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Review Data Mining Reveals the Crucial Factors That Determine When People Make Blunders<\/a><br \/>\n<strong>--<br \/>\n<\/strong><span style=\"color: #333399;\"><strong>\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a\u9673\u52c1\u8c6a\u3000\u79d1\u6559\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7279\u7d04\u5beb\u624b\uff0c\u5f9e\u4e8b\u79d1\u666e\u6587\u7ae0\u5beb\u4f5c\u30022011\u5e74\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\u7d10\u7d04\u5dde\u7acb\u77f3\u6eaa\u5927\u5b78(SUNY at Stony Brook)\u53d6\u5f97\u535a\u58eb\u5b78\u4f4d\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u984c\u70ba\u76f8\u5c0d\u8ad6\u6027\u91cd\u96e2\u5b50\u78b0\u649e(Relativistic Heavy Ion Collision)\u3002\u9577\u671f\u64d4\u4efb\u4e2d\u6587\u79d1\u5b78\u65b0\u805e\u7db2\u7ad9\u300c\u79d1\u666f\u300d(Sciscape.org)\u7e3d\u7de8\u8f2f\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/line.me\/R\/ti\/p\/%40fcx6182w\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/scdn.line-apps.com\/n\/line_add_friends\/btn\/zh-Hant.png\" alt=\"\u52a0\u5165\u597d\u53cb\" width=\"212\" height=\"36\" border=\"0\"><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u25a0\u5e38\u5e38\u4e0b\u5b8c\u6c7a\u5b9a\u611f\u5230\u61ca\u60f1\u55ce\uff1f\u4e09\u4f4d\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u900f\u904e<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":25681,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[257,3293],"tags":[1028,2937,2935,2936],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Img331448348.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25679"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/20"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=25679"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25679\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32661,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25679\/revisions\/32661"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/25681"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=25679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=25679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=25679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}