{"id":23940,"date":"2016-03-15T00:16:19","date_gmt":"2016-03-14T16:16:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=23940"},"modified":"2018-08-03T14:28:22","modified_gmt":"2018-08-03T06:28:22","slug":"%e3%80%90%e5%85%ac%e5%85%b1%e8%a1%9b%e7%94%9f%e3%80%91%e7%95%b6%e4%bd%a0%e7%9a%84%e7%90%83%e9%9a%8a%e7%8d%b2%e5%8b%9d%e7%9a%84%e5%90%8c%e6%99%82%ef%bc%8c%e6%84%9f%e5%86%92%e6%ad%a3%e5%9c%a8%e6%82%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=23940","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u516c\u5171\u885b\u751f\u3011\u7576\u4f60\u7684\u7403\u968a\u7372\u52dd\u6642\uff0c\u611f\u5192\u6b63\u5728\u6084\u6084\u5730\u50b3\u905e"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #333399;\"><strong>\u25a0\u5927\u578b\u904b\u52d5\u8cfd\u4e8b\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982NBA\u7e3d\u51a0\u8ecd\u6230\u3001MLB\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u8cfd\u6216\u662fNFL\u7684\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u7b49\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u958b\u8db4\u559d\u9152\u7684\u597d\u85c9\u53e3\uff0c\u6709\u6c92\u6709\u767c\u73fe\u958b\u5b8c\u8db4\u3001\u559d\u5b8c\u9152\u5f8c\u5e38\u6703\u56e0\u70ba\u611f\u5192\u5728\u5bb6\u8eba\u4e0a\u5169\u4e09\u5929\uff1f<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_23941\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-23941\" style=\"width: 277px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-23941\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/800px-Von_Miller_Broncos-708x1024.jpg\" alt=\"CC BY-SA 3.0\" width=\"277\" height=\"400\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/800px-Von_Miller_Broncos-708x1024.jpg 708w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/800px-Von_Miller_Broncos-207x300.jpg 207w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/800px-Von_Miller_Broncos.jpg 800w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/800px-Von_Miller_Broncos-600x867.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 277px) 100vw, 277px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-23941\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u672c\u5c46\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3MVP: Von Miller (\u4e39\u4f5b\u91ce\u99ac) ,By Jeffrey Beall (Own work) [CC BY-SA 3.0], via Wikimedia Commons<\/figcaption><\/figure><strong>\u64b0\u6587\uff5c<\/strong>\u65b9\u7a0b\u6bc5<\/p>\n<p>\u8001\u7f8e\u760b\u904b\u52d5\u8209\u4e16\u805e\u540d\uff0c\u9047\u5230\u8077\u696d\u904b\u52d5\u5b63\u5f8c\u8cfd\u6216\u51a0\u8ecd\u6230\u4e4b\u969b\uff0c\u9152\u5427\u4e00\u5b9a\u6eff\u6eff\u6eff\uff0c\u82e5\u662f\u6709\u5e78\u64e0\u9032\u53bb\uff0c\u9ede\u676f\u5564\u9152\uff0c\u8ddf\u4e00\u65c1\u8eab\u7a7f\u652f\u6301\u7403\u968a\u7403\u8863\u3001\u9802\u8457\u5927\u5927\u5564\u9152\u809a\uff0c\u6642\u800c\u6b61\u547c\u3001\u6642\u800c\u61a4\u6012\u7684\u5927\u53d4\u5011\u6253\u6253\u5634\u7832\u3002\u90a3\u4e00\u523b\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u5bb6\u4eba\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u53ea\u662f\u5e7e\u500b\u5c0f\u6642\uff0c\u4eba\u8ddf\u4eba\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u8ddd\u96e2\u611f\u4f3c\u4e4e\u7e2e\u5c0f\u5230\u539f\u5b50\u7b49\u7d1a\u3002\u53ea\u4e0d\u904e\u5c31\u5728\u5927\u5bb6\u5718\u7d50\u4e00\u5fc3\u5171\u6297\u5f37\u6575\u7684\u6642\u523b\uff0c\u50b3\u67d3\u75c5\u4e5f\u88ab\u52a0\u901f\u50b3\u64ad\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u570b\u8def\u6613\u65af\u5b89\u90a3\u5dde\u675c\u862d\u5927\u5b78(Tulane University) \u7684Charles Stoecker\u3001alan barreca\u53ca\u5eb7\u4e43\u723e\u5927\u5b78(Cornell University) \u7684Nicholas J. Sanders\uff0c\u4fbf\u91dd\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u904b\u52d5\u8cfd\u4e8b\uff1a\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u8207\u611f\u5192\u50b3\u64ad\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\u9032\u884c\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5c07\u7d50\u679c\u767c\u8868\u5728<em>American Journal of Health Economics<\/em>\u671f\u520a\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4ecb\u7d39\u8ad6\u6587\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u5206\u6790\u524d\uff0c\u5148\u8b93\u5404\u4f4d\u8b80\u8005\u4e86\u89e3\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u77e5\u8b58\u3002\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u662f\u8077\u696d\u7f8e\u5f0f\u8db3\u7403\u806f\u76dfNFL\u7684\u51a0\u8ecd\u6230\u3002NFL\u7684\u5b63\u5f8c\u8cfd\u4e43\u81f3\u65bc\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u8ddf\u570b\u5167\u7403\u8ff7\u719f\u6089MLB\u6216\u662fNBA\u4e03\u6230\u56db\u52dd\u7684\u8cfd\u5236\u975e\u5e38\u4e0d\u540c\uff0cNFL\u5b63\u5f8c\u8cfd\u901a\u901a\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u6230\u5b9a\u751f\u6b7b\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u523a\u6fc0\u5f88\u591a\u3002\u66f4\u7279\u5225\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u7684\u4e3b\u8fa6\u5834\u5730\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u5728\u53c3\u8cfd\u7403\u968a\u4e3b\u5834\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u4e8b\u5148\u5373\u6c7a\u5b9a\u597d\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c<!--more-->\u4f8b\u59822016\u5e74\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u7684\u53c3\u8cfd\u968a\u4f0d\u662f\u300c\u4e39\u4f5b\u91ce\u99ac\u300d\u53ca\u300c\u5361\u7f85\u840a\u7d0d\u9ed1\u8c79\u300d\uff0c\u4f46\u8209\u8fa6\u5834\u5730\u537b\u662f\u5728\u820a\u91d1\u5c71\u5730\u5340\u7684Levi\u2019s Stadium (\u6c92\u932f\uff0c\u7403\u5834\u51a0\u540d\u516c\u53f8\u6b63\u662f\u725b\u4ed4\u8932\u54c1\u724cLevi\u2019s)\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u4e00\u6230\u5b9a\u751f\u6b7b\uff0c\u53c8\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u904b\u52d5\u8cfd\u4e8b\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u9577\u6642\u9593\u6e96\u5099\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u624d\u4e8b\u5148\u9078\u5b9a\u5730\u9ede\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5728\u67d0\u4e00\u968a\u7684\u4e3b\u5834\u9032\u884c\u3002\u81f3\u65bc\u5730\u9ede\u7684\u9078\u64c7\u53c8\u727d\u6d89\u5230\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u662f\u6c23\u5019\u3002\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u8209\u8fa6\u6642\u9593\u5927\u591a\u5728\u4e8c\u6708\u521d\uff0c\u90a3\u6642\u7f8e\u570b\u5317\u90e8\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u90fd\u5728\u4e0b\u96ea\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u7684\u8209\u8fa6\u5730\u9ede\u5927\u591a\u5728\u6eab\u6696\u7684\u897f\u5cb8\u6216\u662f\u5357\u65b9\u3002\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u8fc4\u4eca50\u5e74\uff0c\u53ea\u670915\u500b\u57ce\u5e02\u4e3b\u8fa6\u904e\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u9081\u963f\u5bc6\u3001\u7d10\u5967\u826f\u6216\u662fLA\u7b49\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u7bc7\u8ad6\u6587\u4fbf\u91dd\u5c0d\u81ea1974\u52302009\u5e74\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u9032\u884c\u7d71\u8a08\u3002\u6beb\u7121\u610f\u5916\u7684\u5728\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u5169\u652f\u53c3\u8cfd\u968a\u4f0d\u7684\u300c\u6240\u5728\u57ce\u5e02\u300d\u611f\u5192\u81f4\u6b7b\u7387\u6709\u6240\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u5c24\u5176\u4ee565\u6b72\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u8001\u4eba\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u81ea\u5bb6\u7403\u968a\u9032\u5165\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u9019\u6bb5\u671f\u9593\u611f\u5192\u81f4\u6b7b\u7387\u589e\u52a018%\uff1b\u4f46\u4ee4\u4eba\u610f\u5916\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u9019\u6bb5\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u300c\u8209\u8fa6\u57ce\u5e02\u300d\u7684\u611f\u5192\u81f4\u6b7b\u7387\u537b\u6c92\u6709\u660e\u986f\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u7167\u7406\u4f86\u8aaa\u8209\u8fa6\u57ce\u5e02\u624d\u662f\u4eba\u6f6e\u532f\u805a\u4e4b\u8655\uff0c\u5f9e\u5168\u7f8e\u5404\u5730\u8702\u64c1\u800c\u81f3\u7684\u7403\u8ff7\u61c9\u8a72\u6703\u593e\u5e36\u5404\u7a2e\u75c5\u6bd2\uff0c\u4f46\u6578\u64da\u537b\u4e0d\u662f\u9019\u9ebc\u4e00\u56de\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\u5728\u8ad6\u6587\u4e2d\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u8209\u8fa6\u57ce\u5e02\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u4e0d\u53d7\u5f71\u97ff\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u672c\u8eab\u6c23\u5019\u8f03\u6eab\u548c\uff0c\u4eba\u5728\u6eab\u6696\u6bd4\u5176\u4ed6\u51b0\u5929\u96ea\u5730\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u9084\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6613\u611f\u5192\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4e3b\u8fa6\u57ce\u5e02\u4e5f\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\u6703\u6709\u5927\u6279\u7403\u8ff7\u6e67\u5165\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u9632\u75ab\u7684\u7b49\u7d1a\u4fbf\u6703\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u5c0d\u65bc\u75be\u75c5\u53ca\u885b\u751f\u7684\u63a7\u7ba1\u4e5f\u8f03\u56b4\u683c\uff1b\u53cd\u89c0\u53c3\u52a0\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u7403\u968a\u6240\u5c6c\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u9632\u75ab\u7684\u8b66\u89ba\u5fc3\u53ef\u80fd\u8f03\u4f4e\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u81ea\u5df1\u6240\u5c6c\u57ce\u5e02\u9032\u5165\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\uff0c\u958b\u8db4\u52e2\u5fc5\u66f4\u760b\u72c2\u3002\u66f4\u5c24\u751a\u8005\uff0c\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u524d\u4e00\u8f2a\u7684\u8cfd\u4e8b\u662f\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u8209\u8fa6\u5169\u5468\u524d\u5c31\u5df2\u7d93\u6253\u5b8c(\u9019\u611f\u89ba\u50cf\u662fNBA\u6771\u897f\u5340\u51a0\u8ecd\u6230\u6253\u5b8c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u9694\u5169\u5468\u624d\u958b\u59cb\u6253\u7e3d\u51a0\u8ecd\u6230)\uff0c\u4e5f\u56e0\u70ba\u6709\u9019\u5169\u5468\u919e\u91c0\u671f\uff0c\u4eba\u8207\u4eba\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u4e92\u52d5\u8ddf\u4ea4\u6d41\u6703\u66f4\u591a\u66f4\u983b\u7e41\uff0c\u6230\u7e3e\u8d8a\u597d\uff0c\u7403\u8ff7\u5c31\u8d8a\u760b\u72c2\uff0c\u7121\u5f62\u4e2d\u589e\u52a0\u611f\u5192\u50b3\u64ad\u7684\u9014\u5f91\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u96d6\u7136\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u7684\u4e3b\u8fa6\u57ce\u5e02\u624d\u662f\u4eba\u6f6e\u532f\u805a\u4e4b\u8655\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u5be6\u4e3b\u8fa6\u57ce\u5e02\u901a\u5e38\u4e0d\u662f\u53c3\u8cfd\u968a\u4f0d\uff0c\u65e2\u7136\u81ea\u5bb6\u7403\u968a\u6c92\u6709\u53c3\u8cfd\uff0c\u7576\u5730\u7403\u8ff7\u7684\u71b1\u5ea6\u4fbf\u6c92\u6709\u60f3\u50cf\u4e2d\u9ad8\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u5f9e\u5916\u5730\u4f86\u7684\u7403\u8ff7\u7b49\u65bc\u662f\u89c0\u5149\u5ba2\uff0c\u8ddf\u771f\u6b63\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u7576\u5730\u4eba\u7684\u63a5\u89f8\u4e5f\u6c92\u6709\u60f3\u50cf\u4e2d\u7684\u591a\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u50b3\u67d3\u7684\u7ba1\u9053\u76f8\u5c0d\u8f03\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8ad6\u6587\u4f5c\u8005Charles Stoecker\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u6b63\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u5f85\u5728\u5bb6\u6216\u662f\u79c1\u4eba\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u805a\u6703\u8b93\u611f\u5192\u5f97\u4ee5\u50b3\u64ad\u3002\u300d\u3001\u300c\u6bcf\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u8209\u8fa6\u53ca\u53c3\u52a0\u7684Party\u6539\u8b8a\u4e86\u4eba\u8207\u4eba\u7684\u4e92\u52d5\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u4f60\u6703\u5c0d\u4e00\u4e9b\u5e73\u5e38\u4e0d\u6703\u9047\u5230\u7684\u4eba\u54b3\u55fd\u3001\u6253\u5674\u568f\u3001\u4e00\u8d77\u5403\u6d0b\u828b\u7247\u6216\u559d\u9152\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u4e5f\u5275\u9020\u4e86\u8a31\u591a\u65b0\u7684\u50b3\u67d3\u9014\u5f91\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u9020\u6210\u4e8665\u6b72\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u4eba\u611f\u5192\u81f4\u6b7b\u7387\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u300d\u96d6\u7136\u9019\u662f\u91dd\u5c0d\u8d85\u7d1a\u76c3\u7684\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u500b\u9053\u7406\u540c\u6a23\u80fd\u61c9\u7528\u5230\u5176\u4ed6\u5927\u578b\u8cfd\u4e8b\uff0c\u7576\u5927\u578b\u8cfd\u4e8b(\u5305\u62ec\u570b\u969b\u8cfd\u4e8b)\u8209\u8fa6\u6642\uff0c\u53c3\u8cfd\u968a\u4f0d\u7684\u6bcd\u570b\u6216\u662f\u6240\u5c6c\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u9632\u75ab\u53ca\u516c\u5171\u885b\u751f\u63aa\u65bd\u4e5f\u540c\u6a23\u9700\u8981\u63d0\u9ad8\u8b66\u89ba\uff0c\u4ee5\u6e1b\u4f4e\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u50b3\u64ad\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u539f\u59cb\u8ad6\u6587\uff1a<\/strong>Stoecker, Charles, Nicholas J. Sanders, and Alan Barreca. \"Success is something to sneeze at: Influenza mortality in regions that send teams to the super bowl.\"\u00a0<em>American Journal of Health Economics, forthcoming<\/em>\u00a0(2015).<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u53c3\u8003\u8cc7\u6599\uff1a<\/strong>Tulane University. \"<a href=\"www.sciencedaily.com\/releases\/2016\/02\/160201220016.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Super Bowl celebrations spread flu, according to researcher<\/a>s.\" ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 1 February 2016.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #333399;\"><strong>--<\/strong><\/span><br style=\"color: #000000;\" \/><span style=\"color: #333399;\"><strong>\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a\u65b9\u7a0b\u6bc5 \u79d1\u6559\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7279\u7d04\u5beb\u624b\uff0c\u5f9e\u4e8b\u79d1\u666e\u6587\u7ae0\u5beb\u4f5c<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/line.me\/R\/ti\/p\/%40fcx6182w\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/scdn.line-apps.com\/n\/line_add_friends\/btn\/zh-Hant.png\" alt=\"\u52a0\u5165\u597d\u53cb\" width=\"212\" height=\"36\" border=\"0\"><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u25a0\u5927\u578b\u904b\u52d5\u8cfd\u4e8b\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982NBA\u7e3d\u51a0\u8ecd\u6230\u3001ML<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":23941,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3293,791,1025],"tags":[154,255,1344,1593,1607,2428,1363],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/800px-Von_Miller_Broncos.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23940"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/20"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=23940"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23940\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32500,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23940\/revisions\/32500"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/23941"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=23940"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=23940"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=23940"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}