{"id":23149,"date":"2015-12-29T00:20:32","date_gmt":"2015-12-28T16:20:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=23149"},"modified":"2018-08-01T16:37:13","modified_gmt":"2018-08-01T08:37:13","slug":"%e3%80%90%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e6%9a%96%e5%8c%96%e3%80%91%e4%bd%a0%e7%9f%a5%e9%81%93%e5%b9%be%e5%ba%a6%e6%89%8d%e6%98%af%e6%9c%80%e9%81%a9%e5%90%88%e4%ba%ba%e9%a1%9e%e7%99%bc%e5%b1%95%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=23149","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u3011\u4f60\u77e5\u9053\u5e7e\u5ea6\u624d\u662f\u6700\u9069\u5408\u4eba\u985e\u767c\u5c55\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u6eab\u5ea6\u55ce\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u25a0\u6eab\u5ba4\u6548\u61c9\u9020\u6210\u5168\u7403\u6eab\u5ea6\u4e0d\u65b7\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4f86\u81ea\u67cf\u514b\u840a\u53ca\u53f2\u4e39\u4f5b\u5927\u5b78\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u544a\u8a34\u4f60\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u5230\u5e95\u600e\u9ebc\u5371\u5bb3\u7d93\u6fdf\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90\uff1agreen-mom.com\"
\u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90\uff1agreen-mom.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u64b0\u6587\uff5c<\/strong>\u65b9\u7a0b\u6bc5<\/p>\n

\u7121\u8ad6\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u662f\u5426\u70ba\u4eba\u70ba\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u7bc0\u7bc0\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u5e74\u5747\u6eab\u90fd\u662f\u4e0d\u722d\u7684\u4e8b\u5be6\uff0c\u4eba\u985e\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u8207\u6eab\u5ea6\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u500b\u8b0e\u5718\u3002\u5f9e\u5730\u7406\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3001\u653f\u9ad4\u3001\u6b77\u53f2\u3001\u7522\u696d\u7d50\u69cb\u4e43\u81f3\u7d93\u6fdf\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u5f71\u97ff\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u56e0\u5b50\uff0c\u4f46\u6eab\u5ea6\u4e26\u4e0d\u90a3\u9ebc\u53d7\u5230\u91cd\u8996\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6709\u8a31\u591a\u91dd\u5c0d\u6eab\u5ea6\u5728\u500b\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u5f71\u97ff\u9032\u884c\u7684\u7814\u7a76(\u50cf\u8fb2\u696d\u7684\u7522\u51fa\u4fbf\u6703\u56e0\u70ba\u6eab\u5ea6\u904e\u71b1\u800c\u4e0b\u6ed1\u6216\u9ad8\u6eab\u6703\u8b93\u52de\u5de5\u5de5\u4f5c\u6548\u7387\u8b8a\u5dee\u7b49\u7b49)\uff0c\u4f46\u537b\u9bae\u5c11\u4eba\u7528\u901a\u76e4\u7e3d\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u89e3\u91cb\u4e26\u9810\u6e2c\u672a\u4f86\u5168\u7403\u6eab\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5347\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u53f2\u4e39\u4f5b\u5927\u5b78\u53ca\u67cf\u514b\u840a\u5927\u5b78\u5b78\u8005Marshall Burke, Solomon Hsiang\u53ca Edward Miguel\u4fbf\u5408\u4f5c\u5c071960\u5e74\u81f32010\u5e74\u9593\u5168\u7403100\u591a\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u8207\u6eab\u5ea6\u95dc\u4fc2\u9032\u884c\u6bd4\u5c0d\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u5957\u6a21\u578b\u9810\u6e2c2100\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u6c23\u5019\u6696\u5316\u5c0d\u4e0d\u540c\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u4e26\u5c07\u7d50\u679c\u767c\u8868\u5728\u300a\u81ea\u7136\u300b(Nature<\/em>)\u4e0a\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u4e5f\u7372\u5f97\u83ef\u76db\u9813\u90f5\u5831(Washington Post<\/em>)\u3001\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u4eba(Economist<\/em>) \u53ca\u5f6d\u535a\u65b0\u805e\u793e(Bloomberg<\/em>)\u7b49\u5a92\u9ad4\u5831\u5c0e\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u9664\u4e86\u5c311960\u52302010\u5e74\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u9032\u884c\u7d71\u6574\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u4e5f\u91dd\u5c0d\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u9032\u884c\u9810\u6e2c\uff1a\u5230\u4e862100\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u7387\u56e0\u70ba\u6696\u5316\u5c07\u6703\u5c11\u638923%\uff0c\u9019\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u8aaa\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6703\u6bd4\u73fe\u5728\u5dee\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\uff0c2100\u5e74\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6703\u6bd4\u5c46\u6642\u61c9\u8a72\u8981\u9054\u5230\u7684\u6a19\u6e96\u5c1123%\u3002\u66f4\u53ef\u4ee5\u60f3\u898b\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6696\u5316\u5c0d\u672c\u4f86\u5c31\u76f8\u5c0d\u8ca7\u7aae\u7684\u71b1\u5e36\u570b\u5bb6\u5f71\u97ff\u66f4\u5927\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u672a\u4f86\u5168\u7403\u8ca7\u5bcc\u5dee\u8ddd\u6703\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u64f4\u5927(\u9019\u88e1\u7684\u64f4\u5927\u53ea\u662f\u55ae\u6307\u56e0\u70ba\u6eab\u5ea6\u9020\u6210\u7684)\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6700\u8ca7\u56f040%\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u5230\u4e862100\u5e74\u6703\u6bd4\u7121\u6696\u5316\u8a72\u6709\u7684\u6210\u9577\u5c1175%\uff1b\u800c\u6700\u5bcc\u670920%\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5c45\u8f03\u9ad8\u7def\u5ea6\uff0c2100\u5e74\u7d93\u6fdf\u8868\u73fe\u53cd\u800c\u6bd4\u6c92\u6709\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u7565\u4f73\u3002\u4f46\u6574\u9ad4\u4f86\u8aaa\u5168\u7403\u6703\u670977%\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8868\u73fe\u56e0\u70ba\u6696\u5316\u800c\u4e0d\u5982\u9810\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ee5\u4e0a\u9019\u4e9b\u6578\u64da\u90fd\u53ea\u662f\u6bd4\u8f03\u6709\u7121\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8aaa\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u570b\u5bb6\u52302100\u5e74\u6642\u90fd\u9084\u662f\u6bd4\u73fe\u5728\u5bcc\u88d5\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u6210\u9577\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e0d\u5982\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u90a3\u6709\u6c92\u6709\u570b\u5bb6\u6703\u56e0\u70ba\u6696\u5316\u8b932100\u5e74\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u751a\u81f3\u6bd4\u73fe\u5728\u9084\u8981\u5dee\u5462\uff1f\u7b54\u6848\u662f\u6709\u7684\uff0c\u5927\u7d04\u6703\u67095%\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u6703\u56e0\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u800c\u7d93\u6fdf\u6bd4\u73fe\u5728\u9084\u8981\u5dee\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u6216\u8a31\u6709\u7591\u554f\uff1a\u96a8\u8457\u79d1\u6280\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u9032\u6b65\uff0c\u6216\u8a31\u6211\u5011\u5c07\u66f4\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u61c9\u4ed8\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u8ca0\u9762\u5f71\u97ff\uff1f\u4f5c\u8005\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u5426\u8a8d\uff0c\u4f46\u540c\u6642\u4e5f\u63d0\u5230\u6839\u64da\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u9032\u6b65\u5f88\u96e3\u6539\u8b8a\u9019\u500b\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5229\u7528\u79d1\u6280\u4f86\u5f4c\u88dc\u6c23\u5019\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u662f\u9700\u8981\u6210\u672c\u7684\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u6210\u672c\u4e5f\u662f\u9020\u6210\u7d93\u6fdf\u8868\u73fe\u4e0d\u5982\u9810\u671f\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n

\u96d6\u7136\u9019\u500b\u7814\u7a76\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u8a31\u591a\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u4f46\u4f5c\u8005\u4e5f\u63d0\u5230\u9019\u4e9b\u9810\u6e2c\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u975e\u5e38\u7cbe\u6e96\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u6a21\u578b\u8ddf\u53c3\u6578\u4e4b\u9593\u5dee\u7570\u4e5f\u6975\u5927\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u6216\u8a31\u6578\u5b57\u50c5\u4f9b\u53c3\u8003\uff0c\u4f46\u6574\u9ad4\u8da8\u52e2\u537b\u6975\u5177\u50f9\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n

(\u8ad6\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u4e5f\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5ef6\u4f38\u8cc7\u6599\u3001Q&A\u53ca\u5a92\u9ad4\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u6709\u8208\u8da3\u7684\u8b80\u8005\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u9ede\u4f86\u770b\u770b\u5594\uff1aGlobal Non-linear Effect of Temperature on Economic Production<\/a>)<\/p>\n

\u539f\u59cb\u8ad6\u6587\uff1a<\/strong>Burke, M., Hsiang, S. M. & Miguel, E. Nature <\/em>527, <\/strong>235\u2013239 (2015).<\/p>\n

\u53c3\u8003\u8cc7\u6599\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Sterner, T. Nature <\/em>527, <\/strong>177\u2013178 (2015).<\/li>\n
  2. Economist<\/a>: \"Putting Goldilocks to work\"<\/li>\n
  3. Washington Post<\/a>: \"Sweeping study claims that rising temperatures will sharply cut economic productivity\"<\/li>\n
  4. Bloomberg<\/a>: \"Climate Change Slams Global Economy in a New Study From Stanford and Berkeley\"<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    --<\/strong><\/span>
    \u4f5c\u8005\uff1a\u65b9\u7a0b\u6bc5 \u79d1\u6559\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7279\u7d04\u5beb\u624b\uff0c\u5f9e\u4e8b\u79d1\u666e\u6587\u7ae0\u5beb\u4f5c\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n

    \"\u52a0\u5165\u597d\u53cb\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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