{"id":16740,"date":"2014-03-11T06:31:34","date_gmt":"2014-03-10T22:31:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=16740"},"modified":"2017-08-01T09:20:00","modified_gmt":"2017-08-01T01:20:00","slug":"%e3%80%90%e5%af%b0%e5%ae%87%e5%a4%a9%e6%96%87%e3%80%91%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%83%e4%b8%8d%e6%9c%83%e9%80%99%e9%ba%bc%e5%bf%ab%e6%af%80%e6%bb%85","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=16740","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u5bf0\u5b87\u5929\u6587\u3011\u5730\u7403\u4e0d\u6703\u9019\u9ebc\u5feb\u6bc0\u6ec5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #333399;\"><strong>\u25a0\u592a\u967d\u6eab\u5ea6\u5347\u9ad8\u53ef\u80fd\u5c07\u5730\u7403\u6c34\u4efd\u84b8\u767c\u6b86\u76e1\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u751f\u547d\u7121\u6cd5\u751f\u5b58\uff0c\u4f46\u6b64\u554f\u984c\u4e0d\u6703\u50cf\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\u9019\u9ebc\u5feb\u767c\u751f\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4f5c\u8005\uff5c<\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/news.sciencemag.org\/author\/puneet-kollipara\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">PUNEET KOLLIPARA<br \/>\n<\/a><strong>\u7de8\u8b6f\uff5c<\/strong>\u5289\u8ce2\u54f2<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_16741\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-16741\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/sn-sun_0.jpg\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-16741\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/sn-sun_0.jpg\" alt=\"sn-sun_0\" width=\"540\" height=\"372\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/sn-sun_0.jpg 600w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/sn-sun_0-300x206.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-16741\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u592a\u967d\u6eab\u5ea6\u5347\u9ad8\u53ef\u80fd\u5c07\u5730\u7403\u6c34\u4efd\u84b8\u767c\u6b86\u76e1\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u751f\u547d\u7121\u6cd5\u751f\u5b58\uff0c\u4f46\u6b64\u554f\u984c\u4e0d\u6703\u50cf\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\u9019\u9ebc\u5feb\u767c\u751f\u3002\uff08Detlev van Ravenswaay\/Science Source\uff09<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u653e\u8f15\u9b06\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u4e0d\u6703\u50cf\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u9810\u6e2c\u5730\u9019\u9ebc\u65e9\u6bc0\u6ec5\u3002\u65b0\u6a21\u64ec\u7814\u7a76\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u592a\u967d\u4eae\u5ea6\u9010\u6f38\u589e\u5f37\uff0c\u4f46\u81f3\u5c11\u9084\u898110\u81f315 \u5104\u5e74\u624d\u6703\u5c07\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u7684\u6c34\u4efd\u84b8\u767c\u6b86\u76e1\uff0c\u6bd4\u5148\u524d\u9810\u6e2c\u665a\u4e86\u6578\u5104\u5e74\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u767c\u73fe\u4e0d\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u60a8\u7684\u9000\u4f11\u898f\u5283\uff0c\u4f46\u610f\u5473\u8457\u9069\u5c45\u7684\u985e\u5730\u884c\u661f\uff0c\u5206\u5e03\u7bc4\u570d\u6bd4\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u9810\u671f\u7684\u5ee3\u6cdb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eba\u985e\u6392\u653e\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3(CO<sub>2<\/sub>)\u7b49\u96c6\u71b1\u6c23\u9ad4\u5c0e\u81f4\u5730\u7403\u6eab\u5ea6\u5347\u9ad8\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u7a2e\u6696\u5316\u73fe\u8c61\u9010\u6f38\u767c\u9175\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u901f\u5ea6\u6975\u70ba\u7de9\u6162\uff0c\u4f46\u5f71\u97ff\u66f4\u70ba\u56b4\u91cd\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u73fe\u5728\u592a\u967d\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u71b1\uff0c\u4eae\u5ea6\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u5730\u8868\u4e0a\u66f4\u591a\u6c34\u4efd\u84b8\u767c\u9032\u5165\u5927\u6c23\u5c64\uff0c\u96c6\u4e2d\u66f4\u591a\u71b1\u91cf\u3002\u5c31\u7b97\u505c\u7528\u5316\u77f3\u71c3\u6599\u4ee5\u6e1b\u5c11\u5927\u6c23\u5c64\u4e2d\u7684CO<sub>2<\/sub>\u6fc3\u5ea6\uff0c\u6c34\u6c23\u9020\u6210\u7684\u6eab\u5ba4\u6548\u61c9\u4ecd\u5c07\u9577\u4e45\u5f71\u97ff\u5730\u7403\u6c23\u5019\u3002\u6eab\u5ba4\u6548\u61c9\u7d42\u5c07\u5931\u63a7\uff0c\u84b8\u767c\u5730\u8868\u4e0a\u7684\u6240\u6709\u6c34\u4efd\uff0c\u7d42\u7d50\u6240\u6709\u751f\u547d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8cd3\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9e\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b78(Pennsylvania State University\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31\u8cd3\u5927)\u5e15\u514b\u6821\u5340(University Park)\u7684\u884c\u661f\u5b78\u5bb6\u62c9\u7dad\uff0e\u5eab\u5e15\u62c9\u666e(Ravi Kopparapu)\u8207\u540c\u4e8b\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u904b\u7528\u96fb\u8166\u6a21\u64ec\u5730\u7403\u5982\u4f55\u56e0\u61c9\u65e5\u76ca\u589e\u5f37\u7684\u592a\u967d\u8f3b\u5c04\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u592a\u967d\u5149\u589e\u52a06%\uff0c\u5c31\u8db3\u4ee5\u4f7f\u6eab\u5ba4\u6548\u61c9\u5931\u63a7\uff0c\u84b8\u767c\u5730\u7403\u6240\u6709\u6c34\u4efd\u3002\u4ee5\u76ee\u524d\u6bcf1\u5104\u5e74\u592a\u967d\u5149\u589e\u52a0\u7565\u8d85\u904e1%\u4f86\u770b\uff0c6\u81f37\u5104\u5e74\u5f8c\u5730\u7403\u7684\u6eab\u5ba4\u6548\u61c9\u624d\u6703\u5931\u63a7\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u4ecd\u6703\u53d7\u5230\u5f71\u97ff\u30021.5\u5104\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u5e73\u6d41\u5c64\u7684\u6eab\u5ea6\u8db3\u4ee5\u8b93\u90e8\u5206\u6c34\u6c23\u9032\u5165\u9ad8\u7a7a\uff0c\u7d93\u592a\u967d\u8f3b\u5c04\u5206\u89e3\u5f8c\u9032\u5165\u592a\u7a7a\uff0c\u300c\u6f6e\u6fd5\u6eab\u5ba4\u300d\u6703\u4f7f\u5730\u7403\u6eab\u5ea6\u904e\u9ad8\uff0c\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u751f\u547d\u5f62\u5f0f\u5c07\u7121\u6cd5\u5728\u5730\u8868\u5b58\u6d3b\u3002<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u79d1\u7f85\u62c9\u591a\u5927\u5b78\u4f2f\u5fb7\u6821\u5340(University of Colorado, Boulder)\u7684\u535a\u58eb\u751f\u827e\u745e\u514b\uff0e\u5433\u723e\u592b(Eric Wolf)\u5247\u8a8d\u70ba\u5eab\u6c0f\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u4e0d\u6703\u9019\u9ebc\u5feb\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u4ed6\u8aaa\uff1a\u300c\u5eab\u5e15\u62c9\u666e\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u5c1a\u5728\u521d\u671f\u968e\u6bb5\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u5206\u6790\u4e0d\u540c\u9ad8\u5ea6\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u4f46\u5ffd\u7565\u4e86\u96f2\u5c64\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u4e14\u5047\u8a2d\u5168\u7403\u7684\u6c23\u5019\u56e0\u7d20\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u932f\u8aa4\u7684\u4f5c\u6cd5\u300d\u3002\u5433\u723e\u592b\u8207\u540c\u4e8b\u6b50\u6587\uff0e\u5e03\u840a\u6069\uff0e\u901a\u6069(Owen Brian Toon)\u904b\u7528\u6c23\u8c61\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3(National Center for Atmospheric Research)\u76843D\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u578b\u6a21\u64ec\u5730\u7403\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u6c23\u5019\uff0c\u8003\u616e\u96f2\u5c64\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u4e26\u5047\u8a2d\u5927\u6c23\u4e2d\u7684CO<sub>2<\/sub>\u6fc3\u5ea6\u7dad\u6301\u5728500ppm.\u3002\u63a5\u8457\u5c07\u592a\u967d\u7684\u4eae\u5ea6\u589e\u52a015.5%\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6eab\u5ea6\u5f9e15\u00b0C\u4e0a\u5347\u81f340\u00b0C\u3002\u9019\u6eab\u5ea6\u76f8\u7576\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u9084\u4e0d\u81f3\u65bc\u84b8\u767c\u6db2\u614b\u6c34\u3002\u5e73\u6d41\u5c64\u7684\u6eab\u5ea6\u672a\u5347\u9ad8\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6f6e\u6fd5\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c92\u6709\u767c\u751f\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u57281\u6708\u767c\u8868\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u63d0\u5230\u96f2\u5c64\u53ca\u4e7e\u71e5\u5730\u5340\u5c07\u8a31\u591a\u71b1\u91cf\u53cd\u5c04\u56de\u592a\u7a7a\uff0c\u4f7f\u5730\u7403\u6696\u5316\u901f\u5ea6\u6bd4\u5eab\u6c0f\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\u6162\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5730\u7403\u81f3\u5c11\u9084\u53ef\u4ee5\u7dad\u630115\u5104\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2013\u5e7412\u6708\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u9805\u76f8\u4f3c\u76843D\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u64ec\u7814\u7a76\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6eab\u5ba4\u6548\u61c9\u6700\u5feb10\u5104\u5e74\u5f8c\u624d\u6703\u5931\u63a7\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u6301\u4eba\u5091\u82e5\u7c73\uff0e\u52d2\u5b54\u7279(Jeremy Leconte)\u70ba\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u591a\u502b\u591a\u5927\u5b78(University of Toronto)\u7684\u5929\u9ad4\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\uff0c\u4ed6\u8aaa\u6b64\u7814\u7a76\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u9810\u6e2c\u5730\u7403\u6bc0\u6ec5\u6642\u9593\u8f03\u65e9\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u6a21\u64ec\u96f2\u5c64\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e0d\u540c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672a\u53c3\u8207\u9019\u5169\u9805\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u884c\u661f\u5b78\u5bb6\u8a79\u59c6\u58eb\uff0e\u5361\u65af\u4e01(James Kasting)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b3D\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u80fd\u90fd\u7565\u4f4e\u4f30\u4e86\u5730\u7403\u5be6\u969b\u53ef\u751f\u5b58\u7684\u6642\u9593\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u5047\u8a2dCO<sub>2<\/sub>\u6fc3\u5ea6\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u53ef\u662f\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u5730\u7403\u6696\u5316\u800c\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6c23\u6eab\u4e0a\u5347\u6703\u52a0\u901f\u78b3\u9178\u9223\u5ca9\u5f62\u6210\u8207\u5929\u7136\u7684\u78b3\u5c01\u5b58\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4f7f\u5927\u6c23\u4e2dCO<sub>2<\/sub>\u6fc3\u5ea6\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u66ab\u6642\u6e1b\u7de9\u6696\u5316\u7684\u8173\u6b65\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5361\u65af\u4e01\u8aaa\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u7814\u7a76\u6700\u5927\u7684\u7528\u9014\uff0c\u662f\u5354\u52a9\u6211\u5011\u91cd\u65b0\u63a8\u4f30\u985e\u592a\u967d\u661f\u9ad4\u7684\u9069\u5c45\u5e36\u3002\u5982\u679c\u65b0\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u6b63\u78ba\u7121\u8aa4\uff0c\u5247\u985e\u5730\u884c\u661f\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u7bc4\u570d\u6bd4\u5148\u524d\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\u5ee3\uff0c\u9280\u6cb3\u7cfb\u9069\u5c45\u7684\u884c\u661f\u5c07\u591a\u51fa5%\u81f36%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>--<\/p>\n<pre><span style=\"color: #333333;\"> \u7814\u7a76\u51fa\u8655\uff1a<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/news.sciencemag.org\/climate\/2014\/01\/earth-wont-die-soon-thought\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Earth Won't Die as Soon as Thought<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/pre>\n<p><span style=\"color: #333399;\"><strong><strong>\u8b6f\u8005\uff1a\u5289\u8ce2\u54f2 \u79d1\u6559\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7279\u7d04\u5beb\u624b\uff0c\u5f9e\u4e8b\u79d1\u666e\u6587\u7ae0\u7de8\u8b6f\u3002<\/strong><\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #333399;\"><strong><strong>\u8cac\u4efb\u7de8\u8f2f\uff1aKerina Huang<\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u25a0\u592a\u967d\u6eab\u5ea6\u5347\u9ad8\u53ef\u80fd\u5c07\u5730\u7403\u6c34\u4efd\u84b8\u767c\u6b86\u76e1\uff0c\u5c0e<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":16741,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[191,1022,3293],"tags":[489,1135,1133,1136,1134,1137],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/sn-sun_0.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16740"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/20"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16740"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16740\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29076,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16740\/revisions\/29076"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/16741"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16740"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16740"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16740"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}