{"id":15332,"date":"2013-11-22T08:42:53","date_gmt":"2013-11-22T00:42:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=15332"},"modified":"2017-07-27T10:49:43","modified_gmt":"2017-07-27T02:49:43","slug":"%e3%80%90%e6%b0%a3%e5%80%99%e8%ae%8a%e9%81%b7%e3%80%91%e5%8f%b2%e4%b8%8a%e5%bc%b7%e9%a2%b1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=15332","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u3011\u6d77\u71d5\u98b1\u98a8\u662f\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u60f9\u7684\u798d\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>\u7de8\u8b6f\uff5c<\/strong>\u9ad8\u82f1\u54f2<a href=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/web-AP.717744222058.jpg\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-15333 alignleft\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/web-AP.717744222058.jpg\" alt=\"web-AP.717744222058\" width=\"504\" height=\"336\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/web-AP.717744222058.jpg 630w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/web-AP.717744222058-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/web-AP.717744222058-600x400.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 504px) 100vw, 504px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u64da\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u6d77\u71d5\u98b1\u98a8\u5df2\u9020\u6210\u83f2\u5f8b\u8cd3\u4e0a\u842c\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u83f2\u5f8b\u8cd3\u76ee\u524d\u9084\u5728\u6536\u62fe\u6b98\u5c40\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u5df2\u7d93\u6709\u4eba\u5728\u63e3\u6e2c\u9019\u5834\u707d\u96e3\u662f\u5426\u662f\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u3002\u83f2\u5f8b\u8cd3\u4ee3\u8868\u5728\u524d\u9663\u5b50\u65bc\u6ce2\u862d\u83ef\u6c99\u53ec\u958b\u7684\u806f\u5408\u570b\u6c23\u5019\u6703\u8ac7\u4e0a\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u8207\u6703\u8005\u505a\u51fa\u300c\u6709\u610f\u7fa9\u7684\u300d\u9032\u5c55\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u4ed6\u8981\u7d55\u98df\u4ee5\u660e\u5fd7\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u9019\u500b\u9020\u6210\u6bc0\u6ec5\u6027\u640d\u5bb3\u7684\u98b1\u98a8\uff0c\u679c\u771f\u8207\u5168\u7403\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u6709\u95dc\u55ce\uff1f\u4ee5\u4e0b\u70ba\u60a8\u6574\u7406\u5e7e\u5247\u7b54\u5ba2\u554f\uff1a<\/p>\n<p><strong>Q: \u6d77\u71d5\u98b1\u98a8\u662f\u4eba\u985e\u6e2c\u5f97\u6700\u5f37\u7684\u98b1\u98a8\u55ce\uff1f<\/strong><br \/>\nA: \u4f3c\u4e4e\u662f\u9019\u6a23\u6c92\u932f\u3002\u6d77\u71d5\u98b1\u98a8\u6301\u7e8c\u98a8\u901f\u5728\u6642\u901f 310 \u516c\u91cc\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u662f\u6709\u7d00\u9304\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u5f37\u7684\u767b\u9678\u71b1\u5e36\u98b1\u98a8\u3002\u5148\u524d\u7684\u7d00\u9304\u4fdd\u6301\u8005\u662f 1969 \u5e74\u4fb5\u8972\u7f8e\u570b\u5bc6\u897f\u897f\u6bd4\u5dde\uff0c\u98a8\u901f\u6b63\u597d\u8d85\u904e\u6642\u901f 300 \u516c\u91cc\u7684\u5361\u871c\u5152\u98b6\u98a8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u662f\u8fd1\u5341\u4e8c\u500b\u6708\u5167\u7b2c\u4e09\u500b\u4fb5\u8972\u83f2\u5f8b\u8cd3\u7684\u98b1\u98a8\u3002\u6f6d\u7f8e\u98b1\u98a8\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u516b\u6708\u9593\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u5442\u5b8b\u5cf6\u6df9\u5927\u6c34\uff1b\u5bf6\u971e\u98b1\u98a8\u5247\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u5341\u4e8c\u6708\u9593\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u6c11\u7b54\u90a3\u5ce8\u5cf6\u5169\u5343\u591a\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca 17 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u640d\u5931\u3002\u6d77\u71d5\u8f15\u8f15\u9b06\u9b06\u5c31\u8d85\u904e\u4e86\u9019\u500b\u6578\u5b57\uff0c\u6839\u64da\u7f8e\u570b\u5f6d\u535a\u7522\u696d (Bloomberg Industries) \u8cc7\u6df1\u4fdd\u96aa\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u7684\u5831\u544a\uff0c\u6d77\u71d5\u98b1\u98a8\u7e3d\u8a08\u9020\u6210 140 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u640d\u5931\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u83f2\u5f8b\u8cd3\u4eba\u5c0d\u65bc\u98a8\u707d\u8ddf\u6c34\u707d\u9ad8\u98a8\u96aa\u5340\u57df\u6389\u4ee5\u8f15\u5fc3\uff0c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6578\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u6703\u9ad8\u51fa\u8a31\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong><br \/>\nQ: \u6c23\u65cb (cyclone) \u3001\u98b1\u98a8 (typhoon) \u8ddf\u98b6\u98a8 (hurricane) \uff0c\u5230\u5e95\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5dee\u5225\uff1f<br \/>\n<\/strong>A: \u5176\u5be6\u53ea\u662f\u540c\u4e00\u7a2e\u6975\u7aef\u6c23\u5019\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u5728\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u4e0d\u540c\u5730\u5340\u6709\u4e0d\u4e00\u6a23\u7684\u540d\u5b57\u800c\u5df2\u3002\u5728\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u8ddf\u6771\u5317\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7684\u98a8\u66b4\u53eb\u98b6\u98a8\uff0c\u5728\u897f\u5317\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7684\u53eb\u98b1\u98a8\uff0c\u5728\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u8ddf\u5370\u5ea6\u6d0b\u7684\u5247\u53eb\u505a\u6c23\u65cb\u3002<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><strong><br \/>\nQ: \u9019\u4e9b\u98a8\u66b4\u5728\u9019\u500b\u9010\u6f38\u6696\u5316\u7684\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u6709\u6c92\u6709\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u70ba\u5287\u70c8\uff1f<br \/>\n<\/strong>A: \u9019\u500b\u554f\u984c\u50f9\u503c\u9023\u57ce\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u76ee\u524d\u79d1\u5b78\u754c\u5c0d\u6b64\u5c1a\u7121\u5171\u8b58\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u98a8\u66b4\u5f9e\u6d77\u6d0b\u63a5\u6536\u80fd\u91cf\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u96a8\u8457\u71b1\u5e36\u6d77\u6d0b\u4e0a\u5c64\u8b8a\u5f97\u6108\u4f86\u6108\u6eab\u6696\uff0c\u98a8\u66b4\u4e5f\u8ddf\u8457\u8b8a\u5f37\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u5e38\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u9084\u883b\u5408\u7406\u7684\u3002\u71b1\u5e36\u98a8\u66b4\u7684\u6f5b\u5728\u5f37\u5ea6\uff0c\u78ba\u5be6\u8ddf\u8457\u6d77\u6d0b\u8868\u9762\u6eab\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5347\u800c\u589e\u5f37\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u6d77\u6d0b\u6696\u5316\u7684\u6548\u61c9\uff0c\u4e5f\u6703\u56e0\u70ba\u98a8\u5207\u73fe\u8c61\u589e\u5f37\u800c\u88ab\u62b5\u6d88\u3002\u98a8\u5207\u73fe\u8c61\u6307\u7684\u662f\u5439\u5411\u4e0d\u540c\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u98a8\uff0c\u6d77\u62d4\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u5176\u5f37\u5ea6\u4e5f\u6703\u6709\u6240\u8b8a\u5316\uff1b\u98a8\u5207\u6703\u963b\u7919\u98a8\u66b4\u5f62\u6210\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u5728\u98a8\u66b4\u9054\u5230\u6975\u9ad8\u5f37\u5ea6\u524d\u5c07\u5176\u6495\u88c2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8a31\u591a\u6c23\u5019\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u6301\u5e73\u800c\u8ad6\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u71b1\u5e36\u98a8\u66b4\u6d3b\u52d5\u78ba\u5be6\u6703\u96a8\u8457\u5730\u7403\u6696\u5316\u800c\u6709\u6240\u589e\u9577\u3002\u6709\u4e9b\u8b49\u64da\u986f\u793a\u98a8\u66b4\u5f37\u5ea6\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u4e09\u5341\u5e74\u9593\u6709\u6240\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u53ea\u6709\u89c0\u6e2c\u8a18\u9304\u5920\u591a\u7684\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u8cc7\u6599\u6bd4\u8f03\u53ef\u9760\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u5340\u7684\u76f8\u95dc\u8b49\u64da\u4e26\u4e0d\u78ba\u947f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u653f\u5e9c\u9593\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u5c08\u9580\u59d4\u54e1\u6703 (IPCC) \u5728\u6700\u65b0\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\uff0c\u8b39\u614e\u5730\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u6240\u77e5\u7e3d\u7d50\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a\u300c\u6839\u64da\u71b1\u5e36\u6c23\u65cb\u7684\u767c\u751f\u983b\u7387\u3001\u6301\u7e8c\u6642\u9593\u53ca\u5176\u5f37\u5ea6\u7b49\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u7e3d\u5408\u4f30\u7b97\u5176\u98a8\u529b\u80fd\u91cf\u7684\u6c23\u65cb\u5a01\u529b\u6d88\u6563\u503c\uff0c\u8af8\u5982\u6b64\u985e\u7684\u6642\u9593\u5e8f\u5217\u6307\u6578\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u81ea 1970 \u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\u671f\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u7684\u6c23\u65cb\u6709\u5411\u4e0a\u589e\u9577\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u5317\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u897f\u90e8\u6c23\u65cb\u5411\u4e0a\u589e\u9577\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u5247\u6bd4\u8f03\u75b2\u8edf\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u5c0d\u65bc\u9577\u671f\u8da8\u52e2\u7684\u89e3\u8b80\uff0c\u4ecd\u820a\u53d7\u9650\u65bc\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u54c1\u8cea\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p><strong><br \/>\nQ: \u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u578b\u600e\u9ebc\u8aaa\u5462\uff1f<br \/>\n<\/strong>A: \u5118\u7ba1\u71b1\u5e36\u98a8\u66b4\u5728\u5929\u6c23\u5716\u4e0a\u662f\u500b\u6975\u70ba\u986f\u773c\u7684\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u5168\u7403\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u578b\u592a\u904e\u7c97\u7565\uff0c\u7121\u6cd5\u7b97\u51fa\u9019\u7a2e\u76f8\u5c0d\u4f86\u8aaa\u6bd4\u8f03\u5c0f\u898f\u6a21\u7684\u5927\u6c23\u64fe\u52d5\u73fe\u8c61\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u5fc5\u9808\u900f\u904e\u5927\u6c23\u5faa\u74b0\u7684\u4e00\u822c\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u63a8\u4f30\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u5c0d\u98a8\u66b4\u6d3b\u52d5\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8209\u4f8b\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u5728\u9ebb\u7701\u7406\u5de5\u5b78\u9662\u7814\u7a76\u98b6\u98a8\u7684\u51f1\u5229\uff0e\u827e\u66fc\u7d10 (Kerry Emanuel) \u5c31\u63a1\u7528\u4e00\u7a2e\u6280\u6cd5\uff0c\u5728\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u6a21\u64ec\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u71b1\u5e36\u6c23\u65cb\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u6cd5\u9810\u6e2c\u7d50\u679c\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u897f\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5730\u5340\u4ee5\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u4e8c\u5341\u4e00\u4e16\u7d00\u7684\u6240\u6709\u71b1\u5e36\u6d77\u6d0b\u5730\u5340\uff0c\u71b1\u5e36\u6c23\u65cb\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u983b\u7387\u8207\u5f37\u5ea6\u90fd\u6703\u6709\u6240\u589e\u9577\u3002<\/p>\n<p>--<\/p>\n<pre><span style=\"color: #333333;\"> \u7814\u7a76\u51fa\u8655\uff1a<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/did-climate-change-cause-typhoon-haiyan-1.14139\">Did climate change cause Typhoon Haiyan?<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/pre>\n<p><span style=\"color: #333399;\"><strong><strong>\u8cac\u4efb\u7de8\u8f2f\uff1aVita Chen<\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7de8\u8b6f\uff5c\u9ad8\u82f1\u54f2 \u64da\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u6d77\u71d5\u98b1\u98a8\u5df2\u9020\u6210\u83f2\u5f8b<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":15333,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[191,3293],"tags":[937,104,936,935],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/web-AP.717744222058.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15332"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/20"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15332"}],"version-history":[{"count":16,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15332\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28915,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15332\/revisions\/28915"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/15333"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15332"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15332"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15332"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}