{"id":11355,"date":"2012-06-27T09:24:55","date_gmt":"2012-06-27T01:24:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=11355"},"modified":"2017-03-31T23:20:25","modified_gmt":"2017-03-31T15:20:25","slug":"%e3%80%90%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%83%e7%a7%91%e5%ad%b8%e3%80%91%e7%8f%8a%e7%91%9a%e9%a0%90%e5%91%8a%e7%9a%84%e7%81%bd%e9%9b%a3%ef%bc%9f-%e8%a7%a3%e9%96%8b%e8%87%ba%e7%81%a3%e5%a4%8f%e5%ad%a3%e9%99%8d%e9%9b%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=11355","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u5730\u7403\u79d1\u5b78\u3011\u73ca\u745a\u9810\u544a\u7684\u707d\u96e3\uff1f \u89e3\u958b\u81fa\u7063\u590f\u5b63\u964d\u96e8\u79d8\u5bc6\u7684\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6eab\u7d00\u9304"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_11356\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-11356\" style=\"width: 538px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?attachment_id=11356\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-11356\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11356\" title=\"IMG_3654\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/IMG_3654.jpg\" width=\"538\" height=\"358\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/IMG_3654.jpg 5184w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/IMG_3654-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/IMG_3654-1024x682.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/IMG_3654-800x533.jpg 800w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/IMG_3654-600x400.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 538px) 100vw, 538px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-11356\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u6c88\u6559\u6388\u8aaa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6c23\u5019\u9031\u671f\u6a21\u5f0f\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5c07\u9032\u5165\u4e00\u6bb510\u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u6eab\u671f\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u6548\u61c9\uff0c\u81fa\u7063\u590f\u5b63\u964d\u96e8\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u6301\u7e8c\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u61c9\u7576\u5118\u5feb\u555f\u52d5\u56e0\u61c9\u5c0d\u7b56\u53ca\u842c\u5168\u9632\u707d\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u5716\u7247\u62cd\u651d\uff1aNita Hsu<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u81fa\u7063\u5927\u5b78\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u8def\u6613\u65af\u5b89\u90a3\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b78\u7684\u5730\u8cea\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\uff0c\u806f\u624b\u5408\u4f5c\u7814\u7a76\u4e03\u5e74\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u73ca\u745a\u7684\u9376\u9223\u6bd4\u503c\u548c\u7368\u6b65\u5168\u7403\u7684\u5b9a\u5e74\u6e2c\u5b9a\u6280\u8853\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u7cbe\u78ba\u5730\u91cd\u5efa\u8fd1350\u5e74 \u4f86\uff0c\u5357\u534a\u7403\u6d77\u6c34\u8868\u9762\u6eab\u5ea6\u7d00\u9304\u53ca\u5176\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u8b49\u5be6\u4e86\u81fa\u7063\u964d\u96e8\u8207\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6eab\u9a5a\u4eba\u7684\u95dc\u9023\u6027\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6c23\u5019\u9031\u671f\u6a21\u5f0f\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5c07\u9032\u5165\u4e00\u6bb510\u5e74 \u7684\u9ad8\u6eab\u671f\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u6548\u61c9\uff0c\u81fa\u7063\u590f\u5b63\u964d\u96e8\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u6301\u7e8c\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u61c9\u7576\u5118\u5feb\u555f\u52d5\u56e0\u61c9\u5c0d\u7b56\u53ca\u842c\u5168\u9632\u707d\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u9805\u7814\u7a76\u662f\u7531\u81fa\u7063\u5927\u5b78\u5730\u8cea\u79d1\u5b78\u7cfb\u6c88\u5ddd\u6d32\u6559\u6388\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u8def\u6613\u65af\u5b89\u90a3\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b78\u514b\u8389\u7d72\u6c40\u00b7\u5fb7\u9686\uff08Kristine DeLong\uff09\u6559\u6388\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u5171\u540c\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u4e26\u65bc6\u670824\u65e5\u767c\u8868\u5728\u300a \u81ea\u7136\u2027\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u300b\uff08<em>Nature Climate Change<\/em>\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6c88\u6559\u6388\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u9762\u7a4d\u7684\u6d77\u6d0b\uff0c\u5c0d\u5168\u7403\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u4f54\u6709\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u30022011\u5e74\u4e2d\u7814\u9662\u8207\u81fa\u5927\u5927\u6c23\u7cfb\u5408\u8058\u7684\u8a31\u6643\u96c4\u6559\u6388\u53ca\u4e2d\u592e\u6c23\u8c61\u5c40\u9673\u96f2\u862d \u7814\u7a76\u54e1\uff0c\u5df2\u7d93\u767c\u73fe\u8fd1\u767e\u5e74\u4f86\u7684\u89c0\u6e2c\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u81fa\u7063\u7684\u6771\u5317\u4e9e\u5404\u5cf6\u570b\uff0c\u590f\u5b63\u964d\u96e8\u8207\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6eab\u5177\u6709\u540c\u6b65\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u7279\u6027\uff01\u9019\u500b\u7814\u7a76\u5df2\u767c\u8868\u65bc\u300a\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u7814\u7a76\u901a\u8a0a\u300b\uff08<em>Geophysical Research Letters<\/em>\uff09\u3002<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u570b\u79d1\u6703\u4e4b\u300c\u81fa\u7063\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u79d1\u5b78\u5831\u544a2011\u300d\u4ea6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u81fa\u7063\u7684\u9577\u671f\u6c23\u5019\u89c0\u6e2c\u7d00\u9304\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u8fd150\u5e74\u4f86\u964d\u96e8\u7279\u6027\u660e\u986f\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u964d\u96e8\u5929\u6578\u6025\u5287\u6e1b\u5c11\u800c\u66b4\u96e8\u6b21\u6578 \u537b\u660e\u986f\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u65f1\u6f87\u4ea4\u66ff\u7684\u6975\u7aef\u6c23\u5019\u662f\u81ea\u7136\u9031\u671f\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u5462\uff1f\u9084\u662f\u53d7\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff1f\u60e1\u52a3\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u578b\u614b\u6709\u6e1b\u7de9\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u55ce\uff1f\u9084\u662f\u4e00\u76f4\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u53bb\uff1f\u751a\u81f3\u6703\u66f4\u52a0\u56b4\u91cd\u5462\uff1f \u9019\u662f\u81fa\u7063\u7576\u524d\u9762\u81e8\u7684\u6025\u8feb\u800c\u5207\u8eab\u7684\u8ab2\u984c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6c88\u6559\u6388\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u65bc\u662f\u5f9e\u65bc\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7684\u963f\u7f8e\u5e1d\u5cf6\uff08Am\u00e9d\u00e9e Island\uff09\uff0c\u947d\u53d6\u4e865\u652f\u5fae\u5b54\u73ca\u745a\u5ca9\u82af\uff0c\u4e26\u82b1\u4e867\u5e74\u6642\u9593\u5206\u6790\u73ca\u745a\u9aa8\u9abc\u9376\u9223\u5143\u7d20\u6bd4\u503c\uff0c\u91cd\u5efa\u6d77\u6eab\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u73ca\u745a\u9aa8\u9abc\u300c\u9376\u9223\u6bd4\u503c\u300d\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u6eab\u5ea6\u7684\u51fd\u6578\uff0c\u6d77\u6c34\u6eab\u5ea6\u6bcf\u5347\u9ad81 <sup>o<\/sup>C\uff0c \u6703\u9020\u6210\u6b63\u5728\u6210\u9577\u9aa8\u9abc\u4e2d\u7684\u9376\u9223\u5143\u7d20\u6bd4\u503c\u6e1b\u5c110.8%\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8aaa\u73ca\u745a\u300c\u9376\u9223\u6bd4\u503c\u300d\u662f\u5929\u7136\u7684\u6d77\u6c34\u6eab\u5ea6\u8a08\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u518d\u5229\u7528\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u9802\u5c16\uff0c\u7cbe\u6e96\u5ea6\u6700\u9ad8\u53ef\u9054\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u300c\u923e\u91f7 \u5b9a\u5e74\u6280\u8853\u300d\uff0c\u91cf\u6e2c\u73ca\u745a\u5e74\u9f61\uff0c\u91cd\u5efa\u897f\u51431649\u81f31999\u5e74\uff0c\u5171350\u5e74\u8a72\u5730\u5340\u7684\u8a73\u7d30\u6d77\u8868\u6c34\u6eab\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u8b49\u5be6\u4e86\u81fa\u7063\u964d\u96e8\u8207\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6eab\u7684\u76f8\u95dc\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5728\u897f\u51431890\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u53d7\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u4e0b\u6d77\u6eab\u9010\u6f38\u5347\u9ad8\uff0c\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e00\u767e\u5e74\u4f86\u5df2\u5347\u9ad8\u7d04 1 <sup>o<\/sup>C\u3002\u800c\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b \u6d77\u6eab\u5347\u9ad8\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u5f71\u97ff\u81fa\u7063\u590f\u5b63\u964d\u96e8\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u5728\u65bc\u5c07\u80fd\u91cf\u5f9e\u4f4e\u7def\u5f80\u9ad8\u7def\u8f38\u9001\u7684\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7684\u54c8\u5fb7\u5229\u74b0\u6d41\uff08Hadley circulation\uff09\u7cfb\u7d71\u3002\u9019\u500b\u74b0\u6d41\u5728\u71b1\u5e36\u897f\u5317\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5728\u897f\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4e0b\u6c89\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u7576\u897f\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6eab\u4e00\u65e6\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u6703\u963b\u7919\u51b7\u7a7a\u6c23\u7684\u4e0b\u6c89\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u54c8\u5fb7\u5229\u74b0 \u6d41\u6e1b\u5f31\uff0c\u6e1b\u7de9\u80fd\u91cf\u5f80\u5357\u534a\u7403\u8f38\u9001\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u6c34\u6c23\u8207\u80fd\u91cf\u5f80\u5317\u50b3\u905e\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u97d3\u570b\u3001\u81fa\u7063\u8207\u83f2\u5f8b\u8cd3\uff0c\u590f\u5b63\u964d\u96e8\u660e\u986f\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u66f4\u4ee4\u4eba\u6182\u5fc3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u672a\u4f8610\u5e74\u7684\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6eab\u6b63\u503c\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u9031\u671f\uff0c\u81fa\u7063\u590f\u5b63\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u6050\u5c07\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u6c88\u6559\u6388\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u8aaa\u660e\uff0c\u73ca\u745a\u8207\u73fe\u4ee3\u8cc7\u6599\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7684\u6d77\u6eab\u5b58\u5728 \u845714-19\u5e74\u7684\u9031\u671f\uff0c\u6700\u8fd110\u5e74\u5c07\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u9ad8\u6eab\u671f\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6eab\u6703\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u589e\u5f37\u81fa\u7063\u66b4\u96e8\u7684\u5f37\u5ea6\u6216\u767c\u751f\u983b\u7387\uff0c\u5047\u82e5\u5982\u6b64\uff0c \u9810\u671f\u672a\u4f86\u81fa\u7063\u590f\u5b63\u964d\u96e8\u5c07\u66f4\u8da8\u731b\u70c8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u7576\u9047\u5230\u8d85\u5927\u706b\u5c71\u5674\u767c\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5370\u5c3c\u76841815\u5e74\u5766\u535a\u62c9\uff08Tambora\uff09\u53ca1883\u5e74\u5580\u62c9\u5580\u6258\uff08Krakatoa\uff09\u706b\u5c71\u7206\u767c\u6642\uff0c\u505c\u7559\u5728\u5927\u6c23\u4e2d\u7684\u706b\u5c71\u7070\u5247\u9020\u6210\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6eab\u4e0b\u964d1 <sup>o<\/sup>C\u53ca\u4e4b\u5f8c\u7684\u6578\u5e74\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u5168\u7403\u51b7\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u7d00\u9304\u4e5f\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6eab\u4e26\u4e0d\u53d711\u5e74\u9031\u671f\u7684\u592a\u967d\u9ed1\u5b50\u6d3b\u52d5\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6c88\u6559\u6388\u5718\u968a\u4ea6\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u5357\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7684\u9707\u76ea\u6a21\u5f0f\u4e26\u4e0d\u540c\u65bc\u5317\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b20-30\u5e74\u7684\u9031\u671f\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u4e5f\u8207\u8d64\u9053\u53ca\u71b1\u5e36\u7684\u4f4e\u7def\u5ea6\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b2-7\u5e74\u7684\u8056\u5b30-\u53cd\u8056\u5b30\u9707\u76ea\u9031\u671f\u6c92\u6709\u76f4\u63a5\u95dc\u806f\u3002\u9019\u500b\u767c\u73fe\u8207\u904e\u53bb\u5730\u7403\u79d1\u5b78\u754c\u7684\u8a8d\u77e5\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u51fa\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5404\u5340\u57df\u6c23\u5019\u7684\u5dee\u7570\u548c\u8907\u96dc\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>--<\/p>\n<pre><span style=\"color: #333333;\">\u672c\u6587\u70ba\u53f0\u7063\u5927\u5b78\u516c\u95dc\u5ba4\u65b0\u805e\u7a3f<\/span><\/pre>\n<pre><span style=\"color: #333333;\"> \u7814\u7a76\u6587\u737b\uff1a<strong>\uff1aSea surface temperature variability in the southwest tropical Pacific since AD 1649, 2012, Nature Climate Change Vol. 2, doi:10.1038\/nclimate1583<\/strong><\/span><\/pre>\n<pre><span style=\"color: #333333;\"> \u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/n.yam.com\/tlt\/life\/20120625\/20120625572680.html?utm_source=edm&amp;utm_medium=email\">\u5289\u7d39\u81e3\ufe30\u8c6a\u96e8\uff0b\u71b1\u5cf6 \u6975\u7aef\u6c23\u5019\u5371\u53f0<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/pre>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?attachment_id=11359\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-11359\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11359 alignleft\" title=\"wheater\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/wheater.png\" width=\"131\" height=\"131\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/wheater.png 312w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/wheater-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/wheater-300x300.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 131px) 100vw, 131px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u81fa\u7063\u5927\u5b78\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u8def\u6613\u65af\u5b89\u90a3\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b78\u7684\u5730\u8cea\u7814<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[191,3293],"tags":[811,1036,104,809,810],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11355"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11355"}],"version-history":[{"count":15,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11355\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16329,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11355\/revisions\/16329"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11355"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11355"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11355"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}