{"id":10247,"date":"2011-11-18T10:41:29","date_gmt":"2011-11-18T02:41:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=10247"},"modified":"2017-03-31T23:20:36","modified_gmt":"2017-03-31T15:20:36","slug":"%e3%80%90%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e8%ad%b0%e9%a1%8c%e3%80%91%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e6%9a%96%e5%8c%96%e5%89%8d%e6%99%af%e5%a0%aa%e6%86%82","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=10247","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u5168\u7403\u8b70\u984c\u3011\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u524d\u666f\u582a\u6182"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #333399;\"><strong>\u25a0<\/strong><strong>\u58de\u6d88\u606f\u7e3d\u662f\u6bcf\u6cc1\u6108\u4e0b\u3002\u5341\u6708\u5e95\u767c\u8868\u65bc\u300a\u81ea\u7136\u96dc\u8a8c\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u300b\u4e0a\u7684\u4e00\u9805\u7814\u7a76\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u60f3\u8981\u53ca\u6642\u6291\u5236\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\u6392\u653e\u91cf\uff0c\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u5730\u7403\u6c23\u5019\u5287\u70c8\u6539\u8b8a\u7684\u52aa\u529b\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8aaa\u96e3\u5982\u767b\u5929\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_10249\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10249\" style=\"width: 688px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?attachment_id=10249\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-10249\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-10249   \" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/\u6a21\u578b.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"688\" height=\"435\" srcset=\"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/\u6a21\u578b.jpg 956w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/\u6a21\u578b-800x505.jpg 800w, https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/\u6a21\u578b-600x379.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 688px) 100vw, 688px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-10249\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90:Fotosearch\u2502http:\/\/news.sciencemag.org\/sciencenow\/2011\/10\/bleak-prospects-for-avoiding-dangerous.html?ref=hp<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>\u7de8\u8b6f<\/strong> | \u9ad8\u82f1\u54f2<strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\u6e1b\u91cf\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u9060\u9060\u4e0d\u5920\u8b93\u6696\u5316\u73fe\u8c61\u5f97\u4ee5\u4f4e\u65bc\u5371\u96aa\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u82e5\u8981\u6210\u529f\u529b\u633d\u72c2\u703e\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5fc5\u9808\u8981\u99ac\u4e0a\u9006\u8f49\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u5f8c\u7e8c\u8981\u5728\u9019\u500b\u4e16\u7d00\u5167\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u6e1b\u5c11\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u3002\u8981\u662f\u52d5\u4f5c\u9072\u4e86\uff0c\u4e0d\u4f46\u82b1\u7684\u9322\u53ef\u591a\u4e86\uff0c\u9084\u5f97\u8981\u4ef0\u4ed7\u672a\u7d93\u9a57\u8b49\u7684\u79d1\u6280\uff0c\u624d\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u9054\u5230\u540c\u6a23\u7684\u6548\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u9805\u7814\u7a76\u91dd\u5c0d\u4eba\u985e\u793e\u6703\u5728\u9019\u500b\u4e16\u7d00\u672b\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6703\u5c07\u591a\u5c11\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\u6392\u5165\u5927\u6c23\u4e4b\u4e2d\uff0c\u8a31\u591a\u6a21\u578b\u6240\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u503c\uff0c\u8207\u6c23\u5019\u6703\u5c0d\u9019\u4e9b\u4eba\u985e\u6392\u653e\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\uff0c\u7522\u751f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6a23\u7684\u53cd\u61c9\uff0c\u7d50\u5408\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u9032\u884c\u8a08\u7b97\u3002\u8607\u9ece\u4e16\u806f\u90a6\u7406\u5de5\u5b78\u9662\u6c23\u5019\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u7f85\u683c\u91cc (Joeri Rogelj) \u7b49\u4eba\uff0c\u8a73\u67e5\u4e86\u6240\u6709\u4e3b\u5f35\u4ee5\u6700\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u5c07\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u63a7\u5236\u5728\u651d\u6c0f\u4e8c\u5ea6\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u51fa\u7248\u6587\u737b\uff0c\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u767e\u4e5d\u5341\u4e09\u7d44\u6a21\u578b\u6a21\u64ec\u7d50\u679c\u3002\u505a\u51fa\u9019\u4e9b\u6210\u672c\u6700\u4f73\u5316\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u8a66\u8457\u628a\u6bcf\u4e00\u500b\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u4eba\u985e\u793e\u6703\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5168\u90e8\u7d0d\u5165\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u80fd\u5920\u6709\u6548\u71c3\u71d2\u71c3\u6599\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u9032\u5c55\u7387\uff0c\u53ef\u4f9b\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u5316\u77f3\u71c3\u6599\u6578\u91cf\uff0c\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u71c3\u6599\u7684\u7814\u767c\u7b49\u7b49\u3002\u7136\u5f8c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5c07\u5404\u7a2e\u8a2d\u60f3\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u7684\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\u6392\u653e\u91cf\uff0c\u8f38\u5165\u7c21\u55ae\u7684\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u85c9\u6b64\u9810\u4f30\u907f\u514d\u5371\u96aa\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u60c5\u6cc1\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u3002<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u60f3\u8981\u6291\u5236\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\u6210\u9577\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u8005\uff0c\u9762\u81e8\u7684\u6311\u6230\u53ef\u5927\u4e86\u3002\u65e2\u53ef\u884c\u53c8\u6bd4\u8f03\u5bb9\u6613\u6210\u529f\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u5fc5\u9808\u8981\u8b93\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u5728\u9019\u5341\u5e74\u5167\u9054\u5230\u6700\u9ad8\u5cf0\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u99ac\u4e0a\u5c31\u5f97\u958b\u59cb\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u610f\u601d\u662f\u8981\u5728\u4e8c\u3007\u4e8c\u3007\u5e74\u4ee5\u524d\u958b\u59cb\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u5230\u4e86\u4e8c\u3007\u4e94\u3007\u5e74\u66f4\u8981\u9060\u4f4e\u65bc\u76ee\u524d\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u3002\u5728\u6aa2\u6e2c\u904e\u7684\u4e00\u767e\u4e5d\u5341\u4e09\u500b\u53ef\u80fd\u60c5\u5883\u4e2d\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u4e09\u500b\u300c\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u300d\u8b93\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u60c5\u6cc1\u4f4e\u65bc\u5371\u96aa\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u4e09\u500b\u60c5\u5883\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u501a\u91cd\u80fd\u5920\u628a\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\uff0c\u5f9e\u5927\u6c23\u4e2d\u78ba\u5be6\u79fb\u9664\u6389\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u9ad4\u7cfb\uff0c\u6bd4\u65b9\u8aaa\u5275\u9020\u51fa\u751f\u8cea\u71c3\u6599\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u5c07\u71c3\u71d2\u5b83\u5011\u6240\u751f\u6210\u7684\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u5c01\u5b58\u65bc\u5730\u5e95\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82f1\u570b\u958b\u653e\u5927\u5b78\u6c23\u5019\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u611b\u5fb7\u83ef (Neil Edwards) \u8aaa\uff0c\u8b93\u4eba\u64d4\u5fc3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u9019\u9ebc\u5340\u5340\u5e7e\u7a2e\u60c5\u5883\uff0c\u80fd\u5920\u7d66\u6211\u5011\u4e00\u500b\u60f3\u8981\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u3002\u4ed6\u8ddf\u7f85\u683c\u91cc\u90fd\u5f37\u8abf\u6a21\u578b\u88e1\u9084\u6709\u5929\u751f\u7684\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u793e\u6703\u8207\u79d1\u6280\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u6a21\u578b\u900f\u9732\u7684\u8a0a\u606f\u5012\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u6e05\u695a\uff1a\u6211\u5011\u9700\u8981\u5283\u6642\u4ee3\u7684\u79d1\u6280\uff0c\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u90fd\u8981\u6709\u6240\u5275\u65b0\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6210\u529f\u4f9d\u7136\u662f\u672a\u5b9a\u4e4b\u6578\u3002<br \/>\n--<\/p>\n<pre><span style=\"color: #333333;\"> \u7814\u7a76\u51fa\u8655\uff1a<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/news.sciencemag.org\/sciencenow\/2011\/10\/bleak-prospects-for-avoiding-dangerous.html?ref=hp\">Bleak Prospects for Avoiding Dangerous Global Warming<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/pre>\n<pre><span style=\"color: #333333;\"> \u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=10095#more-10095\">\u3010\u5316\u5b78\u5927\u672a\u4f86\u3011\u5c0b\u65e5\u2027\u4eba\u985e\u7684\u65b0\u65b9\u5411<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/pre>\n<pre><span style=\"color: #333333;\"> \u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?p=2158&amp;cpage=1#comment-3003\">\u3010\u6642\u4e8b\u8ad6\u58c7\u3011\u8a55\u300a\u6b63\u8ca02\u5ea6C\u300b\uff1a\u8ab0\u4f86\u70ba\u6696\u5316\u8ca0\u8cac\uff1f<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/pre>\n<p><span style=\"color: #333399;\"><strong><strong>\u8cac\u4efb\u7de8\u8f2f\uff1aNita Hsu<\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #333399;\"><strong><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/?attachment_id=10518\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-10518\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-10518\" title=\"\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u524d\u666f\u582a\u6182\" src=\"http:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u524d\u666f\u582a\u6182.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"140\" height=\"140\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u25a0\u58de\u6d88\u606f\u7e3d\u662f\u6bcf\u6cc1\u6108\u4e0b\u3002\u5341\u6708\u5e95\u767c\u8868\u65bc\u300a\u81ea\u7136<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[191,3293],"tags":[103,104],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10247"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10247"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10247\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18038,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10247\/revisions\/18038"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10247"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/case.ntu.edu.tw\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}